Engineering analysis with probability boxes: A review on computational methods

MGR Faes, M Daub, S Marelli, E Patelli, M Beer - Structural Safety, 2021 - Elsevier
The consideration of imprecise probability in engineering analysis to account for missing,
vague or incomplete data in the description of model uncertainties is a fast-growing field of …

Estimation of the lower and upper bounds on the probability of failure using subset simulation and random set theory

DA Alvarez, F Uribe, JE Hurtado - Mechanical Systems and Signal …, 2018 - Elsevier
Random set theory is a general framework which comprises uncertainty in the form of
probability boxes, possibility distributions, cumulative distribution functions, Dempster …

Uncertainty management in multidisciplinary design of critical safety systems

E Patelli, DA Alvarez, M Broggi, M Angelis - Journal of Aerospace …, 2015 - arc.aiaa.org
Managing the uncertainty in multidisciplinary design of safety-critical systems requires not
only the availability of a single approach or methodology to deal with uncertainty but a set of …

Sklar's theorem in an imprecise setting

I Montes, E Miranda, R Pelessoni, P Vicig - Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 2015 - Elsevier
Sklar's theorem is an important tool that connects bidimensional distribution functions with
their marginals by means of a copula. When there is imprecision about the marginals, we …

Hybrid reliability analysis with both random and probability-box variables

X Yang, Y Liu, Y Zhang, Z Yue - Acta Mechanica, 2015 - Springer
Hybrid reliability analysis (HRA) with both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties is
investigated in this paper. The aleatory uncertainties are described by random variables …

Imprecise probabilistic evaluation of sewer flooding in urban drainage systems using random set theory

G Fu, D Butler, ST Khu, SA Sun - Water Resources Research, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Uncertainty analysis is widely applied in water system modeling to quantify prediction
uncertainty from models and data. Conventional methods typically handle various kinds of …

Tighter bounds on the probability of failure than those provided by random set theory

DA Alvarez, JE Hurtado, J Ramírez - Computers & Structures, 2017 - Elsevier
Random set theory is a generalization of Dempster-Shafer evidence theory, that employs an
infinite number of focal elements. It can be used for the estimation of the bounds of the …

Random sets, copulas and related sets of probability measures

B Schmelzer - International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2023 - Elsevier
Random sets are random variables whose values are sets. They are frequently interpreted
as imprecise observations of random variables. In earlier papers the author has investigated …

An enhanced active learning Kriging model for evidence theory-based reliability analysis

X Yang, L Zeqing, X Cheng - Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization, 2021 - Springer
Evidence theory-based reliability analysis (ETRA) is investigated in this paper. To estimate
the plausibility (Pl) and belief (Bel) measures of failure probability, the active learning …

An efficient method for the estimation of structural reliability intervals with random sets, dependence modeling and uncertain inputs

DA Alvarez, JE Hurtado - Computers & Structures, 2014 - Elsevier
A general method for estimating the bounds of the reliability of a system in which the input
variables are described by random sets (probability distributions, probability boxes, or …