Arctic sea ice in transformation: A review of recent observed changes and impacts on biology and human activity

WN Meier, GK Hovelsrud, BEH Van Oort… - Reviews of …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Sea ice in the Arctic is one of the most rapidly changing components of the global climate
system. Over the past few decades, summer areal extent has declined over 30%, and all …

A review on Arctic sea‐ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time‐scales

V Guemas, E Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Sea ice plays a crucial role in the Earth's energy and water budget and has a substantial
impact on local and remote atmospheric and oceanic circulations. Predictions of Arctic sea …

Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning

TR Andersson, JS Hosking, M Pérez-Ortiz… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Anthropogenic warming has led to an unprecedented year-round reduction in Arctic sea ice
extent. This has far-reaching consequences for indigenous and local communities, polar …

Do seasonal‐to‐decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world?

R Eade, D Smith, A Scaife, E Wallace… - Geophysical …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Seasonal‐to‐decadal predictions are inevitably uncertain, depending on the size of the
predictable signal relative to unpredictable chaos. Uncertainties can be accounted for using …

[HTML][HTML] Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales

T Jung, ND Gordon, P Bauer… - Bulletin of the …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
The polar regions have been attracting more and more attention in recent years, fueled by
the perceptible impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Polar climate change provides …

Satellite and in situ observations for advancing global Earth surface modelling: A review

G Balsamo, A Agusti-Parareda, C Albergel, G Arduini… - Remote Sensing, 2018 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we review the use of satellite-based remote sensing in combination with in situ
data to inform Earth surface modelling. This involves verification and optimization methods …

Heavy footprints of upper-ocean eddies on weakened Arctic sea ice in marginal ice zones

GE Manucharyan, AF Thompson - Nature communications, 2022 - nature.com
Arctic sea ice extent continues to decline at an unprecedented rate that is commonly
underestimated by climate projection models. This disagreement may imply biases in the …

Submesoscale sea ice‐ocean interactions in marginal ice zones

GE Manucharyan, AF Thompson - Journal of Geophysical …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Signatures of ocean eddies, fronts, and filaments are commonly observed within marginal
ice zones (MIZs) from satellite images of sea ice concentration, and in situ observations via …

The forecast skill horizon

R Buizza, M Leutbecher - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Numerical weather prediction has seen, in the past 25 years, a shift from a 'deterministic'
approach, based on single numerical integrations, to a probabilistic one, with ensembles of …

Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?

JJ Day, E Hawkins, S Tietsche - Geophysical Research Letters, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Arctic sea ice thickness is thought to be an important predictor of Arctic sea ice extent.
However, coupled seasonal forecast systems do not generally use sea ice thickness …