Systemic financial stress and macroeconomic amplifications in the United Kingdom

S Chatterjee, CW Chiu, T Duprey… - Oxford Bulletin of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We develop a daily composite index of financial stress for the United Kingdom over 50
years, the UKFSI. The index includes market stress indicators based on their incremental …

Using payments data to nowcast macroeconomic variables during the onset of COVID-19

J Chapman, A Desai - 2021 - bankofcanada.ca
We consider the effectiveness of stabilization policy when the zero lower bound (ZLB) is a
relevant constraint on conventional monetary policy by relaxing the assumption of rational …

Nonlinear transmission of international financial stress

K Tuzcuoglu - Economic Modelling, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper investigates nonlinear international financial stress spillovers on a small open
economy. The literature provides evidence that financial stress may amplify the effects of …

Macroeconomic predictions using payments data and machine learning

JTE Chapman, A Desai - Forecasting, 2023 - mdpi.com
This paper assesses the usefulness of comprehensive payments data for macroeconomic
predictions in Canada. Specifically, we evaluate which type of payments data are useful …

International transmission of quantitative easing policies: Evidence from Canada

S Kabaca, K Tuzcuoglu - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2024 - Elsevier
What are the cross-border spillovers from major economies' quantitative easing policies to
their trading partners? We provide evidence by concentrating on spillovers from the US to …

A new financial stress index for Ukraine

V Filatov - Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, 2021 - journal.bank.gov.ua
This study improves on the methodology for calculating the financial stress index (FSI) for
Ukraine by introducing a time-varying correlation into the aggregation of five subindices …

From struggle to strain: effects of financial distress on household vulnerability to poverty

K Islam, M Chowdhury - International Journal of Social Economics, 2024 - emerald.com
Purpose This study explores the impact of financial distress on household vulnerability to
poverty in Canada. Previous studies primarily focus on assessing financial stress using one …

China financial stability and asymmetric implications for economic stability

L Zhu, J He - Economic Change and Restructuring, 2024 - Springer
This paper selects indicators from the macro-risk surface and incorporates them in the time-
varying parameter factor augmented vector autoregression model to construct a financial …

[PDF][PDF] A barometer of Canadian financial system vulnerabilities

T Duprey, T Roberts - 2017 - bankofcanada.ca
This note presents a composite indicator of Canadian financial system vulnerabilities—the
Vulnerabilities Barometer. It aims to complement the Bank of Canada's vulnerabilities …

[PDF][PDF] Monetary tightening, inflation drivers and financial stress

F Boissay, F Collard, C Manea, AH Shapiro - 2023 - frbsf.org
The paper explores the state–dependent effects of a monetary tightening on financial stress,
focusing on a novel dimension: the nature of supply versus demand inflation at the time of …