Forecasting intraday volatility in the US equity market. Multiplicative component GARCH

RF Engle, ME Sokalska - Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2012 - academic.oup.com
This paper proposes a new intraday volatility forecasting model, particularly suitable for
modeling a large number of assets. We decompose volatility of high-frequency returns into …

Do high-frequency stock market data help forecast crude oil prices? Evidence from the MIDAS models

YJ Zhang, JL Wang - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Extensive studies have used stock market information to forecast crude oil prices, and stock
market can more easily derive high-frequency data than crude oil market due to no …

The economic value of realized volatility: Using high-frequency returns for option valuation

P Christoffersen, B Feunou, K Jacobs… - Journal of Financial …, 2014 - cambridge.org
Many studies have documented that daily realized volatility estimates based on intraday
returns provide volatility forecasts that are superior to forecasts constructed from daily …

Liquidity and realized volatility prediction in Chinese stock market: A time-varying transitional dynamic perspective

Y Xu, J Liu, F Ma, J Chu - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
Basing on the features of emerging Chinese stock market, this article discusses whether
sharply deteriorating liquidity propels the stock market into a “crisis” state and investigates …

Forecasting exchange rate volatility: GARCH models versus implied volatility forecasts

K Pilbeam, KN Langeland - International Economics and Economic Policy, 2015 - Springer
This study investigates whether different specifications of univariate GARCH models can
usefully forecast volatility in the foreign exchange market. The study compares in-sample …

Economic policy uncertainty and the Chinese stock market volatility: new evidence

Y Li, F Ma, Y Zhang, Z Xiao - Applied Economics, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
This study investigates the impacts of the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indexes of
China and the G7 countries on Chinese stock market volatility and further constructs a new …

Tracking 'Pure'Systematic Risk with Realized Betas for Bitcoin and Ethereum

B Sanhaji, J Chevallier - Econometrics, 2023 - mdpi.com
Using the capital asset pricing model, this article critically assesses the relative importance
of computing 'realized'betas from high-frequency returns for Bitcoin and Ethereum—the two …

Disentangling systematic and idiosyncratic dynamics in panels of volatility measures

M Barigozzi, C Brownlees, GM Gallo, D Veredas - Journal of econometrics, 2014 - Elsevier
Realized volatilities observed across several assets show a common secular trend and
some idiosyncratic pattern which we accommodate by extending the class of Multiplicative …

Liquidity and realized range-based volatility forecasting: evidence from China

Y Xu, D Huang, F Ma, G Qiao - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its …, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper examines the dynamical impact of market wide liquidity on the volatility by using
the Markov switching-regime approach on the Heterogeneous Autoregressive model of the …

Incorporating overnight and intraday returns into multivariate GARCH volatility models

G Dhaene, J Wu - Journal of Econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
We propose and evaluate mixed-frequency multivariate GARCH models for forecasting low-
frequency (weekly) volatility based on high-frequency intraday returns (at 5-minute intervals) …