Toward explaining the persistence of biased inferences, we propose a framework to evaluate competing (mis) specifications in strategic settings. Agents with heterogeneous …
K He - Theoretical Economics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
I study endogenous learning dynamics for people who misperceive intertemporal correlations in random sequences. Biased agents face an optimal‐stopping problem. They …
Although fake online customer reviews have become prevalent on platforms such as Amazon, Google, and Facebook, little is known about how these reviews influence …
A Robson, L Samuelson, J Steiner - American Economic Review …, 2023 - aeaweb.org
This paper examines connections between stochastic growth and decision problems. We use tools from the theory of large deviations to show that wishful thinking decision problems …
This paper studies the forms of model misspecification that are more likely to persist when an agent compares her subjective model with competing models. The agent learns about an …
C Ba - arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.12727, 2021 - arxiv.org
Individuals use models to guide decisions, but many models are wrong. This paper studies which misspecified models are likely to persist when individuals also entertain alternative …
In a model inspired by neuroscience, we study choice between lotteries as a process of encoding and decoding noisy perceptual signals. The implications of this process for …
We study asymptotic learning when the decision-maker is ambiguous about the precision of her information sources. She aims to estimate a state and evaluates outcomes according to …
A growing literature in economics seeks to model how agents process information and update beliefs. In this paper, we link two common approaches:(i) defining an updating rule …