Uncertainty about the future rises in recessions. But is uncertainty a source of business cycles or an endogenous response to them, and does the type of uncertainty matter? We …
The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty - ScienceDirect Skip to main contentSkip to article Elsevier logo Journals & Books Search RegisterSign in View PDF Download full issue …
Y Lyu, S Tuo, Y Wei, M Yang - Resources Policy, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper is the first to investigate the time-varying effects of global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) shocks on the volatility of two international pricing benchmarks for crude …
In this paper we present and describe a large quarterly frequency, macroeconomic database. The data provided are closely modeled to that used in Stock and Watson (2012a) …
We estimate a nonlinear VAR to quantify the impact of US economic policy uncertainty shocks on the Canadian unemployment rate in booms and busts. We find strong evidence in …
J Zhang, Y Xiang, Y Zou, S Guo - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper examines the effects of seven uncertainty indices on Chinese energy price volatility and analyses the influencing factors using the extended GARCH-MIDAS model …
This paper quantifies the finance uncertainty multiplier (ie, the magnifying effect of the real impact of uncertainty shocks due to credit frictions) by relying on two historical events related …
We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country‐specific factors. We quantify the …
We provide additional evidence on the relationship between uncertainty and economic activity. For this purpose, we gather and construct a wide range of proxy indicators of …