The aftermath of debt surges

MA Kose, FL Ohnsorge, CM Reinhart… - Annual Review of …, 2022 - annualreviews.org
Debt in emerging markets and developing economies is at its highest level in half a century.
In about 9 in 10 emerging markets and developing economies, debt is higher now than it …

Debt revenue and the sustainability of public debt

R Reis - Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2022 - aeaweb.org
While public debt has risen in the last two decades, the return that it offers to investors has
fallen, especially relative to the return on private investment. This creates a revenue for the …

Can Deficits Finance Themselves?

GM Angeletos, C Lian, CK Wolf - Econometrica, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We ask how fiscal deficits are financed in environments with two key features:(i) nominal
rigidity, and (ii) a violation of Ricardian equivalence due to finite lives or liquidity constraints …

The US public debt valuation puzzle

Z Jiang, H Lustig, S Van Nieuwerburgh… - Econometrica, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The government budget constraint ties the market value of government debt to the expected
present discounted value of fiscal surpluses. We find evidence that US Treasury investors …

[图书][B] The return to fiscal rules

F Caselli, H Davoodi, MHR Davoodi, C Goncalves… - 2022 - books.google.com
Governments face difficult policy trade-offs with record debt levels, tightening monetary
policies, and urgent demands, including food and energy crises, the climate agenda, and …

[PDF][PDF] Exorbitant privilege gained and lost: Fiscal implications

Z Chen, Z Jiang, H Lustig, S Van Nieuwerburgh… - 2022 - aeaweb.org
We study three centuries of UK, US and Dutch fiscal history. When a country is the dominant
safe asset supplier, it can issue more debt than what is justified by its future primary …

[PDF][PDF] Can monetary policy create fiscal capacity?

V Elenev, T Landvoigt, P Shultz… - Available at SSRN …, 2022 - aeaweb.org
Governments around the world embarked on a large fiscal expansion in response to the
GFC and COVID-19 crises, increasing government debt to levels not seen in 75 years. We …

Price level and inflation dynamics in heterogeneous agent economies

G Kaplan, G Nikolakoudis, GL Violante - 2023 - nber.org
We study equilibria in a heterogeneous-agent incomplete-market economy with nominal
government debt and flexible prices. Unlike in representative agent economies, steady-state …

Excess savings and twin deficits: The transmission of fiscal stimulus in open economies

R Aggarwal, A Auclert, M Rognlie… - NBER …, 2023 - journals.uchicago.edu
Governments around the world responded to the economic fallout from the COVID pandemic
with unprecedented transfers to households and firms, financing these transfers with large …

Public debt bubbles in heterogeneous agent models with tail risk

NR Kocherlakota - International Economic Review, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This article studies the public debt implications of an analytically tractable class of
incomplete insurance macroeconomic models in which agents face a near‐zero probability …