We survey literature on ambiguity with an emphasis on recent applications in macroeconomics and finance. Like risk, ambiguity leads to cautious behavior and …
H Ai, R Bansal - Econometrica, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
This paper develops a revealed preference theory for the equity premium around macroeconomic announcements. Stock returns realized around pre‐scheduled …
We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in …
We propose a novel generalized recursive smooth ambiguity model which permits a three‐ way separation among risk aversion, ambiguity aversion, and intertemporal substitution. We …
Parameter learning strongly amplifies the impact of macroeconomic shocks on marginal utility when the representative agent has a preference for early resolution of uncertainty. This …
M Marinacci - Journal of the European Economic Association, 2015 - academic.oup.com
We study decision problems in which consequences of the various alternative actions depend on states determined by a generative mechanism representing some natural or …
This paper assesses the quantitative impact of ambiguity on historically observed financial asset returns and growth rates. The single agent, in a dynamic exchange economy, treats …
Beliefs are a central determinant of behavior. Recent models assume that beliefs about or the anticipation of future consumption have direct utility consequences. This gives rise to …
A Bommier, A Kochov, F Le Grand - Econometrica, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
We explore the set of preferences defined over temporal lotteries in an infinite horizon setting. We provide utility representations for all preferences that are both recursive and …