A generalized simulation development approach for predicting refugee destinations

D Suleimenova, D Bell, D Groen - Scientific reports, 2017 - nature.com
In recent years, global forced displacement has reached record levels, with 22.5 million
refugees worldwide. Forecasting refugee movements is important, as accurate predictions …

Improving National Intelligence for Public Health Preparedness: a methodological approach to finding local multi-sector indicators for health security

NA Erondu, A Rahman-Shepherd, MS Khan… - BMJ global …, 2021 - gh.bmj.com
The COVID-19 epidemic is the latest evidence of critical gaps in our collective ability to
monitor country-level preparedness for health emergencies. The global frameworks that …

[图书][B] Towards Bayesian model-based demography: Agency, complexity and uncertainty in migration studies

J Bijak - 2022 - library.oapen.org
This open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-
foundations for demography and migration studies. It offers a unique and novel methodology …

Principles and state of the art of agent-based migration modelling

J Bijak, M Hinsch, J Bijak - … Agency, complexity and uncertainty in migration …, 2022 - Springer
Migration as an individual behaviour as well as a macro-level phenomenon happens as part
of hugely complex social systems. Understanding migration and its consequences therefore …

[HTML][HTML] Facilitating simulation development for global challenge response and anticipation in a timely way

D Groen, D Suleimenova, A Jahani, Y Xue - Journal of Computational …, 2023 - Elsevier
An important subset of today's global crises, such as the 2015 migration crisis in Syria and
the 2020 COVID pandemic, has a rapid and hard-to-extrapolate evolution that complicates …

VECMAtk: a scalable verification, validation and uncertainty quantification toolkit for scientific simulations

D Groen, H Arabnejad… - … of the Royal …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We present the VECMA toolkit (VECMAtk), a flexible software environment for single and
multiscale simulations that introduces directly applicable and reusable procedures for …

Building confidence in simulation: applications of EasyVVUQ

DW Wright, RA Richardson, W Edeling… - Advanced Theory …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Validation, verification, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) of simulation workflows are
essential for building trust in simulation results, and their increased use in decision‐making …

How policy decisions affect refugee journeys in South Sudan: a study using automated ensemble simulations

D Suleimenova, D Groen - 2020 - bura.brunel.ac.uk
Forced displacement has a huge impact on society today, as more than 68 million people
are forcibly displaced worldwide. Existing methods for forecasting the arrival of migrants …

Искусственное общество и реальные демографические процессы

ВЛ Макаров, АР Бахтизин, ЕД Сушко… - Экономика и …, 2017 - elibrary.ru
В работе показано применение агент-ориентированного подхода при моделировании
естественного движения населения. Приводится обзор наиболее характерных …

Relief aid provision to en route refugees: Multi-period mobile facility location with mobile demand

OB Bayraktar, D Günneç, FS Salman, E Yücel - European Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Many humanitarian organizations aid en route refugee groups who are on their journey to
cross borders using mobile facilities and need to decide the number and routes of the …