R Moessner, DJ Jansen… - Journal of Economic …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
We discuss the theoretical rationale for central bank communication about future policy rates, either as part of inflation targeting or in the form of forward guidance. We also …
M García-Schmidt, M Woodford - American Economic Review, 2019 - aeaweb.org
We argue that an influential neo-Fisherian analysis of the effects of low interest rates depends on using perfect-foresight equilibrium analysis under circumstances where it is not …
Central banks' announcements that rates are expected to remain low could signal either a weak macroeconomic outlook, which would slow expenditures, or a more accommodative …
JH Cochrane - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
Many new-Keynesian models produce a deep recession with deflation at the zero bound. These models also make unusual policy predictions: Useless government spending …
KG Lunsford - American Economic Review, 2020 - aeaweb.org
I show that the nature of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC's) forward guidance language shapes the private sector's responses to monetary policy statements. From …
MT Kiley - Review of Economic Dynamics, 2016 - Elsevier
The common sticky-prices New-Keynesian model behaves differently in a zero-lower bound environment. Fiscal and forward guidance multipliers can be very large. Positive supply …
Q Ashraf, B Gershman, P Howitt - Journal of Economic Behavior & …, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper is an exploratory analysis of the role that banks play in supporting what Jevons called the “mechanism of exchange.” It considers a model economy in which exchange …
M Rognlie - Unpublished manuscript, 2016 - mattrognlie.com
Policymakers and academics have long maintained that nominal interest rates face a zero lower bound (ZLB), which can only be breached through major institutional changes like the …
The viability of forward guidance as a monetary policy tool depends on the horizon over which it can be communicated and its influence on expectations over that horizon. This …