A spectral analysis of world GDP dynamics: Kondratieff waves, Kuznets swings, Juglar and Kitchin cycles in global economic development, and the 2008–2009 …

AV Korotayev, SV Tsirel - Structure and Dynamics, 2010 - escholarship.org
The article presents results of spectral analysis that has detected the presence of Kondratieff
waves (their period equals approximately 52–53 years) in the world GDP dynamics for the …

Economic cycles, crises, and the global periphery

L Grinin, A Tausch, A Korotayev - 2016 - Springer
Although the global economy has more or less recovered from the most severe
manifestations of the global financial and economic crisis, it is obvious that the economy of …

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

LE Grinin, AL Grinin, A Korotayev - Technological forecasting and social …, 2017 - Elsevier
In the present article we analyze the relationships between K-waves and major
technological breakthroughs in history and offer forecasts about features of the sixth …

[图书][B] Циклы, кризисы, ловушки современной Мир-Системы: исследование кондратьевских, жюгляровских и вековых циклов, глобальных кризисов …

ЛЕ Гринин, АВ Коротаев - 2019 - academia.edu
Современный мир (Мир-Система) переживает бурный период изменений,
трансформаций и реконфигураций. Понять причины и направленность этих изменений …

Kondratieff waves in the world system perspective

AV Korotayev, LE Grinin - … Dimensions and prospects at the dawn …, 2012 - books.google.com
The analysis of long economic cycles allows us to understand long-term worldsystem
dynamics, to develop forecasts, to explain crises of the past, as well as the current global …

[PDF][PDF] Кондратьевские волны в мир-системной перспективе

АВ Коротаев, ЛЕ Гринин - Кондратьевские волны. Аспекты и …, 2012 - academia.edu
Анализ длинных экономических циклов помогает понять долгосрочную динамику
развития Мир-Системы, позволяет строить прогнозы, но также очень многое проясняет …

Long waves in prices: new evidence from wavelet analysis

M Gallegati, M Gallegati, JB Ramsey, W Semmler - Cliometrica, 2017 - Springer
In this paper we apply wavelet analysis to study the dynamics of long-term movements in
wholesale prices for the USA, the UK and France over the period 1791–2012. The …

Which countries generate Kondratieff waves in global GDP growth rate dynamics in the contemporary world

A Korotayev, S Bilyuga, A Shishkina - Journal of Globalization …, 2020 - cyberleninka.ru
It is shown that the Kondratieff wave dynamics in the growth rates of global GDP is
generated now by the developing countries, while in the previous era the Kondratieff …

A Wavelet investigation of periodic long swings in the economy: The original data of Kondratieff and some important series of GDP per capita

A Focacci - Economies, 2023 - mdpi.com
The existence of fluctuations is part of the narrative, especially when there is a slowdown (or
worse, a contraction) in economic activity. The presence of long waves with a period of …

Common socio-economic cycle periods

B De Groot, PH Franses - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2012 - Elsevier
We present a meta-analysis of cycle periods in historical socio-economic data found in the K-
wave literature. The literature on stochastic and deterministic cycles in variables such as the …