Africa: The continent of the future. Challenges and opportunities

L Grinin, A Korotayev - Reconsidering the Limits to Growth: A Report to the …, 2023 - Springer
Grinin and Korotayev's main approach in this chapter is formulated in its title “Africa—the
Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities.” And it is really so. Africa is the most …

Introduction. Changing yet persistent: Revolutions and revolutionary events

JA Goldstone, L Grinin, A Korotayev - Handbook of revolutions in the 21st …, 2022 - Springer
This introductory chapter provides a number of definitions of different kinds and forms of
revolutionary events as well as a preliminary description of all the revolutionary waves of the …

The Arab spring: Causes, conditions, and driving forces

L Grinin, A Korotayev - Handbook of revolutions in the 21st century: The …, 2022 - Springer
This chapter offers an analysis of conditions in the MENA countries on the eve of the Arab
Spring wave of revolutions from the World System perspective, as well as the causes …

Revolutions, counterrevolutions, and democracy

L Grinin, A Korotayev - Handbook of revolutions in the 21st century: The …, 2022 - Springer
Grinin and Korotayev in this chapter study the issue of democratization of countries within
the context of revolutions and globalization. They point to the unreasonably high economic …

Modeling social self-organization and historical dynamics: Africa's futures

A Korotayev, S Shulgin, V Ustyuzhanin… - … to growth: A report to the …, 2023 - Springer
This chapter presents forecasts for the emergence of large-scale political and demographic
collapses and for the economic growth of some countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) …

Formal education and contentious politics: The case of violent and non-violent protest

PS Sawyer, AV Korotayev - Political Studies Review, 2022 - journals.sagepub.com
This study investigates the effect that formal education, as a factor of socio-economic
development, has on the intensity and forms of political protest. By way of increased …

Revolutions and democracy: can democracies prevent revolutionary armed violence?

V Ustyuzhanin, A Korotayev - Comparative Sociology, 2023 - brill.com
In recent years, the question of what form a revolutionary uprising will take–armed or
unarmed–has been raised more often. This is because, as shown by numerous studies …

Education and revolutions: why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?

V Ustyuzhanin, A Korotayev - Cross-Cultural Research, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
Is there a relationship between education and the type of revolutionary action–violent or
nonviolent? Past studies found a positive relationship between the education and …

Global Systems for Sociopolitical Instability Forecasting and Their Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis

A Korotayev, I Medvedev, J Zinkina - Comparative Sociology, 2022 - brill.com
This article offers a comparison of sociopolitical instability forecasting systems. It compares
systematically their efficiency by correlating their predictions for particular years with actual …

Machine learning for ranking factors of global and regional protest destabilization with a special focus on Afrasian instability macrozone

I Medvedev, V Ustyuzhanin, J Zinkina… - Comparative …, 2022 - brill.com
Based on the experience of previous studies, the authors use machine learning methods at
two levels for evaluating predictors of instability. First, they analyze the factors that lead to …