Plant pathogen infection risk tracks global crop yields under climate change
Global food security is strongly determined by crop production. Climate change-induced
losses to production can occur directly or indirectly, including via the distributions and …
losses to production can occur directly or indirectly, including via the distributions and …
[HTML][HTML] Uncertainty concepts for integrated modeling-Review and application for identifying uncertainties and uncertainty propagation pathways
We review concepts that have been used to address uncertainty in integrated modeling.
Although conceptual approaches to tackle uncertainty seem diverse, a synthesis reveals …
Although conceptual approaches to tackle uncertainty seem diverse, a synthesis reveals …
Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios
Concerns over climate change are motivated in large part because of their impact on human
society. Assessing the effect of that uncertainty on specific potential impacts is demanding …
society. Assessing the effect of that uncertainty on specific potential impacts is demanding …
A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security
A limited nuclear war between India and Pakistan could ignite fires large enough to emit
more than 5 Tg of soot into the stratosphere. Climate model simulations have shown severe …
more than 5 Tg of soot into the stratosphere. Climate model simulations have shown severe …
The optimization of model ensemble composition and size can enhance the robustness of crop yield projections
Linked climate and crop simulation models are widely used to assess the impact of climate
change on agriculture. However, it is unclear how ensemble configurations (model …
change on agriculture. However, it is unclear how ensemble configurations (model …
Climate change impact on wheat and maize growth in Ethiopia: A multi-model uncertainty analysis
Ethiopia's economy is dominated by agriculture which is mainly rain-fed and subsistence.
Climate change is expected to have an adverse impact particularly on crop production …
Climate change is expected to have an adverse impact particularly on crop production …
A data-driven crop model for maize yield prediction
Accurate estimation of crop yield predictions is of great importance for food security under
the impact of climate change. We propose a data-driven crop model that combines the …
the impact of climate change. We propose a data-driven crop model that combines the …
[HTML][HTML] The GGCMI Phase 2 experiment: global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in , temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol …
Concerns about food security under climate change motivate efforts to better understand
future changes in crop yields. Process-based crop models, which represent plant …
future changes in crop yields. Process-based crop models, which represent plant …
Projecting potential impact of COVID-19 on major cereal crops in Senegal and Burkina Faso using crop simulation models
Context The rapid emergence of COVID-19 could have direct and indirect impacts on food
production systems and livelihoods of farmers. From the farming perspective, disruption of …
production systems and livelihoods of farmers. From the farming perspective, disruption of …
Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change
Modern food production is spatially concentrated in global “breadbaskets.” A major
unresolved question is whether these peak production regions will shift poleward as the …
unresolved question is whether these peak production regions will shift poleward as the …