[图书][B] Optimal stopping and free-boundary problems

G Peskir, A Shiryaev - 2006 - Springer
In the end of Chapter I we have seen that the optimal stopping problem for a Markov process
X with the value function V is equivalent to the problem of finding the smallest …

When did global warming start? A new baseline for carbon budgeting

HB Ameur, X Han, Z Liu, J Peillex - Economic Modelling, 2022 - Elsevier
The global temperatures over the period 1850–1900 are widely used by academia and
policymaker as a pre-industrial baseline to assess global warming, but there remains a clear …

Detecting changes in real-time data: a user's guide to optimal detection

P Johnson, J Moriarty, G Peskir - … Transactions of the …, 2017 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The real-time detection of changes in a noisily observed signal is an important problem in
applied science and engineering. The study of parametric optimal detection theory began in …

Bayesian quickest detection problems for some diffusion processes

PV Gapeev, AN Shiryaev - Advances in Applied Probability, 2013 - cambridge.org
We study the Bayesian problems of detecting a change in the drift rate of an observable
diffusion process with linear and exponential penalty costs for a detection delay. The optimal …

Quickest detection problems for Bessel processes

P Johnson, G Peskir - 2017 - projecteuclid.org
Consider the motion of a Brownian particle that initially takes place in a two-dimensional
plane and then after some random/unobservable time continues in the three-dimensional …

Optimal Stopping Methods for Investment Decisions: A Literature Review

Z Liu, Y Mu - International Journal of Financial Studies, 2022 - mdpi.com
Investors decide the best time to take a given action by maximizing their utility function while
taking into account current information and the underlying process in the optimal stopping …

[图书][B] Stochastic disorder problems

AN Shiryaev - 2019 - Springer
In the present monograph, which most directly relates to the probabilistic-statistical fields
known as “decision theory” and “statistical sequential analysis,” the main focus is on those …

Bayesian quickest detection of credit card fraud

B Buonaguidi, A Mira, H Bucheli, V Vitanis - Bayesian Analysis, 2022 - projecteuclid.org
This paper addresses the risk of fraud in credit card transactions by developing a
probabilistic model for the quickest detection of illegitimate purchases. Using optimal …

When to sell Apple and the NASDAQ? Trading bubbles with a stochastic disorder model

AN Shiryaev, MV Zhitlukhin… - Journal of Portfolio …, 2014 - search.proquest.com
In this paper, the authors apply a continuous-time stochastic process model developed by
Shiryaev and Zhutlukhin for optimally stopping random price processes that appear to be …

On a stochastic version of the trading rule “buy and hold”

A Shiryaev, AA Novikov - Statistics & Decisions, 2009 - degruyter.com
The paper deals with the problem of finding an optimal one-time rebalancing strategy
assuming that in the Black–Scholes model the drift term of the stock may change its value …