Effectiveness of early warning models: A critical review and new agenda for future direction

R Padhan, KP Prabheesh - Bulletin of Monetary Economics and …, 2019 - bulletin.bmeb-bi.org
This paper suggests a new agenda for constructing early warning models (EWMs) to
enhance their effectiveness in predicting financial crises. The central argument of the new …

Applications of artificial neural networks in financial economics: a survey

Y Li, W Ma - 2010 International symposium on computational …, 2010 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper is a survey on the application of artificial neural networks in forecasting financial
market prices. The objective of this paper is to appraise the potential of using artificial neural …

Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty

M Holopainen, P Sarlin - Quantitative Finance, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
This paper presents first steps towards robust models for crisis prediction. We conduct a
horse race of conventional statistical methods and more recent machine learning methods …

Predicting sovereign debt crises using artificial neural networks: A comparative approach

M Fioramanti - Journal of Financial Stability, 2008 - Elsevier
Recent episodes of financial crisis have revived interest in developing models able to signal
their occurrence in timely manner. The literature has developed both parametric and non …

Comparison of prediction performances of artificial neural network (ANN) and vector autoregressive (VAR) Models by using the macroeconomic variables of gold …

AD Aydin, SC Cavdar - Procedia Economics and Finance, 2015 - Elsevier
Artificial neural network (ANN) approach, the application of artificial intelligence, which has
been improved by the simulation of cognitive learning process of human brain, has been …

[PDF][PDF] Prediction of financial crisis with artificial neural network: an empirical analysis on Turkey

AD Aydin, SC Cavdar - International journal of financial research, 2015 - researchgate.net
Prediction of economic crisis, financial distress or bankruptcy has attracted great deal of
attention in financial literature and in many other fields among the researchers over the past …

An integrated LSTM neural networks approach to sustainable balanced scorecard-based early warning system

E Ayvaz, K Kaplan, M Kuncan - IEEE Access, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Developments in the economic environment in the 2000s have become increasingly
dynamic and complex. Rapid developments in this kind of economic environment threaten …

Visual predictions of currency crises using self-organizing maps

P Sarlin, D Marghescu - 2010 IEEE International Conference …, 2010 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Throughout the 1990s, four global waves of financial turmoil occurred. The beginning of the
21st century has also suffered from several crisis episodes, including the severe sub prime …

Are emerging market currency crises predictable?-A test

TA Peltonen - 2006 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper analyzes the predictability of emerging market currency crises by comparing the
often used probit model to a new method, namely a multi-layer perceptron artificial neural …

Empirical study of financial crises based on topological data analysis

H Guo, S Xia, Q An, X Zhang, W Sun, X Zhao - Physica A: Statistical …, 2020 - Elsevier
We analyze financial time series based on topological data analysis to obtain the critical
information around 2008 global financial crisis and 2010 European debt crisis. We build an …