Modeling time‐varying higher‐order conditional moments: A survey

SJ Soltyk, F Chan - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Since the introduction of the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model,
the literature on modeling the time‐varying second‐order conditional moment has become …

Risk quantification for commodity ETFs: Backtesting value-at-risk and expected shortfall

EB Del Brio, A Mora-Valencia, J Perote - International Review of Financial …, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper calibrates risk assessment of alternative methods for modeling commodity ETFs.
We implement recently proposed backtesting techniques for both value-at-risk (VaR) and …

Prudential regulation and bank solvency based on flexible distributions: An example for evaluating the impact of monetary policy

JF Rendón, LM Cortés, J Perote - The World Economy, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This paper proposes new risk measures by accurately estimating the components of
solvency risk and focusing on prudential policy implementation. We use semi …

The valid regions of Gram–Charlier densities with high-order cumulants

W Lin, JE Zhang - Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 2022 - Elsevier
Based on derivatives of a Gaussian density, the Gram–Charlier series is an infinite
expansion. Its truncated series is often used in many fields to approximate probability …

[HTML][HTML] Basel III countercyclical bank capital buffer estimation and its relation to monetary policy

JF Rendón, LM Cortés, J Perote - Journal of Economics and Business, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a new model to estimate the countercyclical bank solvency capital
buffer established in Basel III. The model lies in a flexible semi-nonparametric approach to …

A Gram–Charlier Analysis of Scattering to Describe Nonideal Polymer Conformations

A Datta, X Wang, SD Mengel, AJ DeStefano… - …, 2024 - ACS Publications
Theories of interpreting polymer physics and rheology at the molecular level from
experiments, including small-angle scattering, typically rely on the assumption that polymer …

The productivity of top researchers: a semi-nonparametric approach

LM Cortés, A Mora-Valencia, J Perote - Scientometrics, 2016 - Springer
Research productivity distributions exhibit heavy tails because it is common for a few
researchers to accumulate the majority of the top publications and their corresponding …

Do realized higher moments have information content?-VaR forecasting based on the realized GARCH-RSRK model

T Wang, F Liang, Z Huang, H Yan - Economic Modelling, 2022 - Elsevier
In this paper, we develop a new model, the Realized GARCH-RSRK, to determine the time-
varying distribution of financial returns with realized higher moments. Based on Gram …

Backtesting expected shortfall for world stock index ETFs with extreme value theory and Gram–Charlier mixtures

E Molina‐Muñoz, A Mora‐Valencia… - International Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
This paper analyses risk quantification for three main stock market index exchange‐traded
funds in world financial markets. We compare the relative performance of a set of parametric …

VaR performance during the subprime and sovereign debt crises: An application to emerging markets

EB Del Brio, A Mora-Valencia, J Perote - Emerging Markets Review, 2014 - Elsevier
Highly volatile scenarios, such as those provoked by the recent subprime and sovereign
debt crises, have questioned the accuracy of current risk forecasting methods. This paper …