Simulating vehicle fleet composition: A review of system dynamics models

JJG Vilchez, P Jochem - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2019 - Elsevier
While the market evolution of electric vehicles is uncertain, numerous studies have explored
the future market diffusion of this and alternative powertrain technologies. This paper …

Incorporating pro-environmental preferences towards green automobile technologies through a Bayesian hybrid choice model

RA Daziano, D Bolduc - Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
In this article we develop, implement and apply a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Gibbs
sampler for Bayesian estimation of a hybrid choice model (HCM), using stated data on both …

Forecasting the demand for electric vehicles: accounting for attitudes and perceptions

A Glerum, L Stankovikj, M Thémans… - Transportation …, 2014 - pubsonline.informs.org
In the context of the arrival of electric vehicles on the car market, new mathematical models
are needed to understand and predict the impact on the market shares. This research …

Where have all the flowers gone? Forecasting green trends in the automobile industry with a choice-based conjoint adoption model

F Eggers, F Eggers - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2011 - Elsevier
With rising gas prices, global warming, and green thinking, all-electric vehicles are currently
considered the automobile technology of the future. However, besides their advantages …

The market potential for plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles in Flanders: A choice-based conjoint analysis

K Lebeau, J Van Mierlo, P Lebeau, O Mairesse… - … Research Part D …, 2012 - Elsevier
This paper considers the market potential for battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric
vehicles in Flanders, Belgium. Making use of a large-scale survey conducted in 2011 and …

Electric vehicles rising from the dead: Data needs for forecasting consumer response toward sustainable energy sources in personal transportation

RA Daziano, E Chiew - Energy Policy, 2012 - Elsevier
Since standard vehicles are powered by internal combustion mechanisms that rely on fossil
fuels, electric vehicles that are propelled by one or more electric engines have been …

Analyzing manufacturers' impact on green products' market diffusion–the case of electric vehicles

K Kieckhäfer, K Wachter, TS Spengler - Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017 - Elsevier
Electric vehicles are often seen as a promising way for rationalizing the use of fossil energy
in the automotive sector. So far, however, their market success and thus their impact on …

Home charging and electric vehicle diffusion: Agent-based simulation using choice-based conjoint data

M Klein, L Lüpke, M Günther - … Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2020 - Elsevier
Electric vehicles offer the potential of climate-friendly driving and have received more and
more attention in diffusion research recently. However, the effect of the availability of home …

Simulating the market penetration of cars with alternative fuelpowertrain technologies in Italy

E Valeri, R Danielis - Transport Policy, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper evaluates the market penetration of cars with alternative fuelpowertrain
technologies in Italy under various scenarios. Seven cars on sale in 2013 are considered …

How may incentives for electric cars affect purchase decisions?

C Rudolph - Transport Policy, 2016 - Elsevier
In this paper, the impact of five different incentives for buyers of zero emission vehicles (ZEV)
is investigated with a stated choice experiment. The tested incentives are direct subsidies …