Theories that link domestic politics, domestic institutional structures, and leader incentives to
foreign affairs have flowered in the past 25 years or so. By unpacking institutional variation …

A major theoretical statement by a distinguished political scholar explains why a policy of
liberal hegemony is doomed to fail It is widely believed in the West that the United States …

We provide evidence that increased political influence, arising from CIA interventions during
the Cold War, was used to create a larger foreign market for American products. Following …

Does foreign military assistance strengthen or further weaken fragile states facing internal
conflict? Aid may strengthen the state by bolstering its repressive capacity vis-à-vis armed …

Is military intervention effective in spreading democracy? Existing studies disagree.
Optimists point to successful cases, such as the transformation of West Germany and Japan …

We estimate the impact of coups and top-secret coup authorizations on asset prices of
partially nationalized multinational companies that stood to benefit from US-backed coups …

What causes democratic waves? This article puts forward a theory of institutional waves that
focuses on the effects of systemic transformations. It argues that abrupt shifts in the …

How violent events and autocratic parties trigger democratic change How do democracies
emerge? Shock to the System presents a novel theory of democratization that focuses on …

After the 1994 Oslo Accords, Palestinians were hopeful that an end to the Israeli occupation
was within reach, and that a state would be theirs by 1999. With this promise, international …

We study how foreign interventions affect civil war around the world. In an infinitely repeated
game we combine a gambling for resurrection mechanism for the influencing country with …