Das Forschungsprogramm Subjektive Theorien geht vom Menschenbild des reflexiven
Subjekts aus. Die damit für das psychologische Erkenntnis-Objekt postulierten Fähigkeiten …

A distinction is made between decision utility, experienced utility, and predicted utility and an
experiment is reported addressing people's ability to forecast experienced utility. Subjects in …

We review our research on predictions in two different domains:(a) people's estimates of
how long they will take to complete various academic and everyday tasks and (b) forecasts …

In a follow-up study to D. Dunning et al (see record 1990-22524-001), which had
investigated the phenomenon of overconfidence in social prediction, two samples of first …

Having ceded many late nights to this portly volume, it took forceful self-persuasion to put
pen to paper again to prepare this invited commentary on the commentaries about it. I am …

Four experiments demonstrate that self-knowledge provides a mixed blessing in behavioral
prediction, depending on how accuracy is measured. Compared with predictions of others …

In two longitudinal studies, university students, their roommates, and parents assessed the
quality and forecast the longevity of the students' dating relationships. The longitudinal …

We conducted four studies to explore people's self-prediction processes. Study 1 examined
the types of information people report using when making self-predictions. Five categories of …

I should like to thank my parents, Brenda and Stuart Pulford, for working so hard to provide
for my education and for their unconditional love, support and encouragement. Thanks also …

Although self-harming behavior is a common and costly problem for psychiatric inpatients
released from the hospital, standardized tools that assess patients' risk for self-harm are …