R Lehmann - Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2023 - Springer
Abstract The ifo Institute is Germany's largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the most important leading indicators for gross domestic product …
As one of the main pillars of the ifo Institute's economic research, the ifo Business Survey has been conducted monthly since 1949, a year after the foundation of the ifo Institute. Since …
Economic forecasts are an important element of rational economic policy both on the federal and on the local or regional level. Solid budgetary plans for government expenditures and …
Accurate real-time macroeconomic data are essential for policy-making and economic nowcasting. The rising interest in analyses at the sub-national level cannot be served as …
R Lehmann, S Möhrle - Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional economic activity. Using unique high‐frequency electricity consumption data from industrial …
To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to …
G Schultz Lindenmeyer, H da Silva Torrent - Computational Economics, 2024 - Springer
This paper aims to elaborate a treated data set and apply the boosting methodology to monthly Brazilian macroeconomic variables to check its predictability. The forecasting …
This paper seeks to test the component-wise boosting validity as an instrument of forecasting regional series in economic recessions. We use 822 predictors to forecast the …
X Zhang, YQ Wei, L Ni, Z Hashim - 2024 - bit.kuas.edu.tw
For the purpose of enhancing the prediction accuracy of trade economic cost under increasingly complex environment, genetic optimization LVQ neural network (AGLVQ) …