[图书][B] ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen

S Sauer, K Wohlrabe - 2020 - econstor.eu
Das vorliegende Handbuch soll einen Überblick über die Befragungen des ifo Instituts
sowie die daraus resultierenden Konjunkturindikatoren und deren Verwendung für die …

The forecasting power of the ifo business survey

R Lehmann - Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2023 - Springer
Abstract The ifo Institute is Germany's largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business
Climate Germany as one of the most important leading indicators for gross domestic product …

[图书][B] Handbook of ifo Surveys

S Sauer, M Schasching, K Wohlrabe - 2023 - econstor.eu
As one of the main pillars of the ifo Institute's economic research, the ifo Business Survey
has been conducted monthly since 1949, a year after the foundation of the ifo Institute. Since …

Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach

JC Claudio, K Heinisch, O Holtemöller - Empirical Economics, 2020 - Springer
Economic forecasts are an important element of rational economic policy both on the federal
and on the local or regional level. Solid budgetary plans for government expenditures and …

A real-time regional accounts database for Germany with applications to GDP revisions and nowcasting

R Lehmann - Empirical Economics, 2024 - Springer
Accurate real-time macroeconomic data are essential for policy-making and economic
nowcasting. The rising interest in analyses at the sub-national level cannot be served as …

Forecasting regional industrial production with novel high‐frequency electricity consumption data

R Lehmann, S Möhrle - Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional
economic activity. Using unique high‐frequency electricity consumption data from industrial …

Quarterly GDP estimates for the German states

R Lehmann, I Wikman - 2022 - econstor.eu
To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states.
In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to …

Boosting and predictability of macroeconomic variables: Evidence from Brazil

G Schultz Lindenmeyer, H da Silva Torrent - Computational Economics, 2024 - Springer
This paper aims to elaborate a treated data set and apply the boosting methodology to
monthly Brazilian macroeconomic variables to check its predictability. The forecasting …

Using boosting for forecasting electric energy consumption during a recession: a case study for the Brazilian State Rio Grande do Sul

G Lindenmeyer, PP Skorin, HS Torrent - Letters in Spatial and Resource …, 2021 - Springer
This paper seeks to test the component-wise boosting validity as an instrument of
forecasting regional series in economic recessions. We use 822 predictors to forecast the …

[PDF][PDF] Application of Genetically Optimized LVQ Neural Network in Trade Economic Forecasting

X Zhang, YQ Wei, L Ni, Z Hashim - 2024 - bit.kuas.edu.tw
For the purpose of enhancing the prediction accuracy of trade economic cost under
increasingly complex environment, genetic optimization LVQ neural network (AGLVQ) …