Errors in probabilistic reasoning and judgment biases

DJ Benjamin - Handbook of Behavioral Economics: Applications and …, 2019 - Elsevier
Errors in probabilistic reasoning have been the focus of much psychology research and are
among the original topics of modern behavioral economics. This chapter reviews theory and …

Organizational learning

B Levitt, JG March - Annual review of sociology, 1988 - annualreviews.org
This paper reviews the literature on organizational learning. Organizational learning is
viewed as routine-based, history-dependent, and target-oriented. Organizations are seen as …

[PDF][PDF] Czarny łabędź

NN Taleb - Jak nieprzewidywalne zdarzenia rządzą naszym …, 2020 - prawo.uni.wroc.pl
Od Yogiego Berry do Henriego Poincarégo Rozdział 10: SKANDAL PROGNOZOWANIA O
niesprecyzowanej liczbie kochanków carycy Katarzyny Powrót ślepoty na Czarne Łabędzie …

[图书][B] Черный лебедь

НН Талеб - 2023 - books.google.com
За одно только последнее десятилетие человечество пережило ряд тяжелейших
катастроф, потрясений и катаклизмов, не укладывающихся в рамки самых …

Perception of risk

P Slovic - The perception of risk, 2016 - taylorfrancis.com
The ability to sense and avoid harmful environmental conditions is necessary for the survival
of all living organisms. Survival is also aided by an ability to codify and learn from past …

[图书][B] Discrete choice analysis: theory and application to travel demand

ME Ben-Akiva, SR Lerman - 1985 - books.google.com
Discrete Choice Analysis presents these results in such a way that they are fully accessible
to the range of students and professionals who are involved in modelling demand and …

The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice

A Tversky, D Kahneman - science, 1981 - science.org
The psychological principles that govern the perception of decision problems and the
evaluation of probabilities and outcomes produce predictable shifts of preference when the …

[图书][B] An analysis of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases

C Morvan, WJ Jenkins - 2017 - taylorfrancis.com
Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's 1974 paper 'Judgement Under Uncertainty:
Heuristics and Biases' is a landmark in the history of psychology. Though a mere seven …

Toward a positive theory of consumer choice

R Thaler - Journal of economic behavior & organization, 1980 - Elsevier
The economic theory of the consumer is a combination of positive and normative theories.
Since it is based on a rational maximizing model it describes how consumers should …

Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises

RS Nickerson - Review of general psychology, 1998 - journals.sagepub.com
Confirmation bias, as the term is typically used in the psychological literature, connotes the
seeking or interpreting of evidence in ways that are partial to existing beliefs, expectations …