W Cui, C Wan, Y Song - IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Probabilistic forecasting that quantifies the prediction uncertainties is crucial for decision- making in power systems. As a prevalent nonparametric probabilistic forecasting approach …
SH Sun, R Yu - The Twelfth International Conference on Learning …, 2023 - openreview.net
Accurate uncertainty measurement is a key step in building robust and reliable machine learning systems. Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification …
Abstract We propose Multivariate Quantile Function Forecaster (MQF2), a global probabilistic forecasting method constructed using a multivariate quantile function and …
Y Wang, Z Wu, C Li, A Wu - Advances in Neural Information …, 2023 - proceedings.neurips.cc
In the field of behavior-related brain computation, it is necessary to align raw neural signals against the drastic domain shift among them. A foundational framework within neuroscience …
Although black-box models can accurately predict outcomes such as weather patterns, they often lack transparency, making it challenging to extract meaningful insights (such as which …
TH Yoon, Y Park, EK Ryu… - … Conference on Artificial …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
Probabilistic time series forecasting has played critical role in decision-making processes due to its capability to quantify uncertainties. Deep forecasting models, however, could be …
A normalizing flow (NF) is a mapping that transforms a chosen probability distribution to a normal distribution. Such flows are a common technique used for data generation and …
Time series has been left behind in the era of pre-training and transfer learning. While research in the fields of natural language processing and computer vision are enjoying …
Shared mobility services require accurate demand models for effective service planning. On the one hand, modeling the full probability distribution of demand is advantageous because …