[HTML][HTML] Communicating uncertainty using words and numbers
Life in an increasingly information-rich but highly uncertain world calls for an effective means
of communicating uncertainty to a range of audiences. Senders prefer to convey uncertainty …
of communicating uncertainty to a range of audiences. Senders prefer to convey uncertainty …
Communicating probability information in weather forecasts: Findings and recommendations from a living systematic review of the research literature
Probabilistic forecast information is rapidly spreading in the weather enterprise. Many
scientists agree that this is a positive development, but incorporating probability information …
scientists agree that this is a positive development, but incorporating probability information …
The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world
Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) uses verbal descriptions
of uncertainty (for example, Unlikely) to convey imprecision in its forecasts and conclusions …
of uncertainty (for example, Unlikely) to convey imprecision in its forecasts and conclusions …
Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports
Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) publishes periodical
assessment reports informing policymakers and the public on issues relevant to the …
assessment reports informing policymakers and the public on issues relevant to the …
Improving the question formulation in Delphi‐like surveys: Analysis of the effects of abstract language and amount of information on response behavior
C Markmann, A Spickermann… - Futures & Foresight …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Prospective surveys are a common research mode used to establish a profound decision
base for R&D investments, technological innovation, and policy making. The challenge …
base for R&D investments, technological innovation, and policy making. The challenge …
Guidance on communication of uncertainty in scientific assessments
European Food Safety Authority, A Hart, L Maxim… - EFSA …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
This document provides guidance for communicators on how to communicate the various
expressions of uncertainty described in EFSA's document:'Guidance on uncertainty analysis …
expressions of uncertainty described in EFSA's document:'Guidance on uncertainty analysis …
[图书][B] Public health risk assessment for human exposure to chemicals
DK Asante-Duah - 2002 - Springer
Risk to human health as a consequence of toxic materials found in modern societies is a
matter of grave concern to the world community. What is more, risks to humans that arise …
matter of grave concern to the world community. What is more, risks to humans that arise …
Verbal probabilities: Very likely to be somewhat more confusing than numbers
People interpret verbal expressions of probabilities (eg 'very likely') in different ways, yet
words are commonly preferred to numbers when communicating uncertainty. Simply …
words are commonly preferred to numbers when communicating uncertainty. Simply …
[图书][B] Generalized linear models for categorical and continuous limited dependent variables
M Smithson, EC Merkle - 2013 - books.google.com
Generalized Linear Models for Categorical and Continuous Limited Dependent Variables is
designed for graduate students and researchers in the behavioral, social, health, and …
designed for graduate students and researchers in the behavioral, social, health, and …
Confidence levels and likelihood terms in IPCC reports: a survey of experts from different scientific disciplines
Scientific assessments, such as those by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC), inform policymakers and the public about the state of scientific evidence and related …
(IPCC), inform policymakers and the public about the state of scientific evidence and related …