Machine-learning (ML) methods have gained prominence in the quantitative sciences.
However, there are many known methodological pitfalls, including data leakage, in ML …

At conferences, at seminars, and on political science blogs, the potential utility of
experimental methods for international relations (IR) research continues to be a hotly …

For over a decade, Boko Haram has waged a campaign of terror across northeastern
Nigeria. In 2014, the kidnapping of 276 girls in Chibok shocked the world, giving rise to the# …

What factors influence attitudes towards refugees? Do negative attitudes towards refugees
also influence attitudes towards conflict in the host countries? Previous studies suggest that …

Under what conditions do rebel organizations control territory during civil war? How do
civilians influence the distribution of territorial control? This article introduces a civilian …

Violent conflict among rebels is a common feature of civil wars and insurgencies. Yet, not all
rebel groups are equally prone to such infighting. While previous research has focused on …

Governments, militaries, and aid organizations all rely on economic interventions to shape
civilian attitudes toward combatants during wartime. We have, however, little individual-level …

Two decades on from 9/11, the Taliban now control more than half of Afghanistan. Few
would have foreseen such an outcome, and there is little understanding of how Afghans …

Riots, murders, lynchings, and other forms of local violence are costly to security forces and
society at large. Identifying risk factors and forecasting where local violence is most likely to …

We investigate the impact of the US drone program in Pakistan on insurgent violence. Using
details about US-Pakistan counterterrorism cooperation and geocoded violence data, we …