Probabilistic spatiotemporal wind speed forecasting based on a variational Bayesian deep learning model

Y Liu, H Qin, Z Zhang, S Pei, Z Jiang, Z Feng, J Zhou - Applied Energy, 2020 - Elsevier
Reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasting of wind speed is of vital importance for the
utilization of wind energy and operation of power systems. In this paper, a probabilistic …

Numerical weather prediction enhanced wind power forecasting: Rank ensemble and probabilistic fluctuation awareness

C Liu, X Zhang, S Mei, Z Zhen, M Jia, Z Li, H Tang - Applied Energy, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) is the key to precise wind power forecasting
(WPF), which can be enhanced by the NWP correction and scenario partition techniques …

The making of the New European Wind Atlas–part 1: model sensitivity

AN Hahmann, T Sīle, B Witha, NN Davis… - Geoscientific model …, 2020 - gmd.copernicus.org
This is the first of two papers that document the creation of the New European Wind Atlas
(NEWA). It describes the sensitivity analysis and evaluation procedures that formed the …

Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: Proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop

SE Haupt, W Chapman, SV Adams… - … of the Royal …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The most mature aspect of applying artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (ML) to
problems in the atmospheric sciences is likely post-processing of model output. This article …

[HTML][HTML] Sensitivity analysis of the WRF model: Wind-resource assessment for complex terrain

S Fernández-González, ML Martín… - Journal of Applied …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Wind energy requires accurate forecasts for adequate integration into the electric grid
system. In addition, global atmospheric models are not able to simulate local winds in …

A stochastic data‐driven ensemble forecasting framework for water resources: A case study using ensemble members derived from a database of deterministic …

J Quilty, J Adamowski… - Water Resources Research, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
In water resources applications (eg, streamflow, rainfall‐runoff, urban water demand [UWD],
etc.), ensemble member selection and ensemble member weighting are two difficult yet …

WRF precipitation performance and predictability for systematically varied parameterizations over complex terrain

J Jeworrek, G West, R Stull - Weather and Forecasting, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Physics parameterizations in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model are
systematically varied to investigate precipitation forecast performance over the complex …

Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for precipitation forecasting in an Andean region with complex topography

G Yáñez-Morroni, J Gironás, M Caneo, R Delgado… - Atmosphere, 2018 - mdpi.com
The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model has been successfully used in
weather prediction, but its ability to simulate precipitation over areas with complex …

Using stochastically perturbed parameterizations to represent model uncertainty. Part II: Comparison with existing techniques in an operational ensemble

R McTaggart-Cowan, L Separovic… - Monthly Weather …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The ability of a stochastically perturbed parameterization (SPP) approach to represent
uncertainties in the model component of the Canadian Global Ensemble Prediction System …

[HTML][HTML] BMA probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting over the Huaihe basin using TIGGE multimodel ensemble forecasts

J Liu, Z Xie - Monthly Weather Review, 2014 - journals.ametsoc.org
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) probability quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF)
models were established by calibrating their parameters using 1–7-day ensemble forecasts …