A new approach for location-specific seasonal outlooks of typhoon and super typhoon frequency across the Western North Pacific region

AD Magee, AS Kiem, JCL Chan - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
With an average of 26 tropical cyclones (TCs) per year, the western North Pacific (WNP) is
the most active TC basin in the world. Considerable exposure lies in the coastal regions of …

Analysis and simulation of three tropical cyclones with different paths in the Arabian Sea

S Karami, Z Ghassabi, S Khansalari - Natural Hazards, 2024 - Springer
Abstract The Indian Ocean and the Arabian Sea (AS) are regularly influenced by tropical
cyclones (TCs). In this study, the TCs in the AS during the period 1980–2022 were …

Interdecadal change in the influence of the southern annular mode to the tropical cyclone frequency over the Bay of Bengal

D Mbigi, Z Xiao - International Journal of Climatology, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The current study investigates the modulation of the tropical cyclone (TC) frequency (TCF)
over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) by the southern annular mode (SAM). The analysis reveals …

Seasonal climate prediction models for the number of landfalling tropical cyclones in China

B Tian, K Fan - Journal of Meteorological Research, 2019 - Springer
Two prediction models are developed to predict the number of landfalling tropical cyclones
(LTCs) in China during June-August (JJA). One is a statistical model using preceding …

Statistical seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific

KTF Chan, Z Dong, M Zheng - Environmental Research Letters, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
Forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) activities has been a topic of great interest and research.
Many studies and existing seasonal forecasting models have examined and predicted the …

Analysis of the effect of Tropical Cyclone Phet on the occurrence of heavy rainfall and floods in Chabahar, Iran

YG Rahimi, E Abbasi, M Farajzadeh - Weather, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
On the first day of June 2010 a very severe tropical storm occurred in the North Indian Ocean
near the Arabian Sea, which was named Tropical Cyclone Phet (TCP). During the 7‐day …

[PDF][PDF] Relationship between Antarctic Oscillation and the genesis activity of the yearly latest tropical cyclone in the western North Pacific

JW Choi, B Wang - Int. J. Climatol, 2020 - soest.hawaii.edu
We find a significant negative correlation between the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) and the
genesis longitude of the last TC of the year (hereafter the last TC) in the western North …

Statistical model for seasonal prediction of tropical cyclone frequency in the mid-latitudes of East Asia

KS Choi, DW Kim, HR Byun - Theoretical and applied climatology, 2010 - Springer
This study constructed a multiple linear regression model (MLRM) for the seasonal
prediction of summer tropical cyclone (TC) frequency in the mid-latitudes of East Asia and …

Seasonal prediction for tropical cyclone frequency around Taiwan using teleconnection patterns

KS Choi, CC Wu, Y Wang - Theoretical and applied climatology, 2014 - Springer
In this study, a statistical model is developed to predict the frequency of tropical cyclones
(TCs) that influence Taiwan in boreal summer. Predictors are derived from large-scale …

Statistical Seasonal Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Landfall on South China Utilizing Preseason Predictors

OYW Zhang, KTF Chan, L Xu, Z Wu - Frontiers in Earth Science, 2022 - frontiersin.org
Predicting tropical cyclone (TC) activities has been a topic of great interest and research.
Many existing seasonal forecasting models of TC predict the numbers of TC geneses and …