The predictability of the extratropical stratosphere on monthly time‐scales and its impact on the skill of tropospheric forecasts

OP Tripathi, M Baldwin… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Extreme variability of the winter‐and spring‐time stratospheric polar vortex has been shown
to affect extratropical tropospheric weather. Therefore, reducing stratospheric forecast error …

Review of land surface albedo: variance characteristics, climate effect and management strategy

X Zhang, Z Jiao, C Zhao, Y Qu, Q Liu, H Zhang… - Remote Sensing, 2022 - mdpi.com
Surface albedo plays a controlling role in the surface energy budget, and albedo-induced
radiative forcing has a significant impact on climate and environmental change (eg, global …

Arctic warming, increasing snow cover and widespread boreal winter cooling

JL Cohen, JC Furtado, MA Barlow… - Environmental …, 2012 - iopscience.iop.org
The most up to date consensus from global climate models predicts warming in the Northern
Hemisphere (NH) high latitudes to middle latitudes during boreal winter. However, recent …

[HTML][HTML] Response of the wintertime Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation to current and projected Arctic sea ice decline: A numerical study with CAM5

Y Peings, G Magnusdottir - Journal of Climate, 2014 - journals.ametsoc.org
Response of the Wintertime Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation to Current and
Projected Arctic Sea Ice Decline: A Numerical Study with CAM5 in: Journal of Climate Volume …

[图书][B] Next generation earth system prediction: strategies for subseasonal to seasonal forecasts

National Academies of Sciences, Life Studies… - 2016 - books.google.com
As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources
become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to …

[PDF][PDF] Drivers of North Atlantic Polar Front jet stream variability.

R Hall, R Erdélyi, E Hanna, JM Jones… - International Journal of …, 2015 - researchgate.net
Polar front jet stream variability is responsible for instances of extreme weather and is crucial
for regional climate change. The North Atlantic Polar Front jet stream is of particular …

[HTML][HTML] Tropospheric precursors and stratospheric warmings

J Cohen, J Jones - Journal of climate, 2011 - journals.ametsoc.org
Tropospheric Precursors and Stratospheric Warmings in: Journal of Climate Volume 24
Issue 24 (2011) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …

A new index for more accurate winter predictions

J Cohen, J Jones - Geophysical Research Letters, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Seasonal climate prediction remains a challenge. During Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter
the large‐scale teleconnection pattern the Arctic Oscillation (AO) explains the largest fraction …

An observational analysis: Tropical relative to Arctic influence on midlatitude weather in the era of Arctic amplification

J Cohen - Geophysical Research Letters, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The tropics, in general, and El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in particular are almost
exclusively relied upon for seasonal forecasting. Much less considered and certainly more …

CFSv2 ensemble prediction of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation

EE Riddle, AH Butler, JC Furtado, JL Cohen, A Kumar - Climate dynamics, 2013 - Springer
Lagged ensembles from the operational Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2)
seasonal hindcast dataset are used to assess skill in forecasting interannual variability of the …