Demographic change and HIV epidemic projections to 2050 for adolescents and young people aged 15-24

A Khalifa, J Stover, M Mahy, P Idele, T Porth… - Global health …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
Background: Ending AIDS as a public health threat by 2030 is a significant challenge, as
new HIV infections among adolescents and young people have not decreased fast enough …

The Estimation and Projection Package Age-Sex Model and the r-hybrid model: new tools for estimating HIV incidence trends in sub-Saharan Africa

JW Eaton, T Brown, R Puckett, R Glaubius, K Mutai… - Aids, 2019 - journals.lww.com
Objectives: Improve models for estimating HIV epidemic trends in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).
Design: Mathematical epidemic model fit to national HIV survey and ANC sentinel …

Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study

B Sartorius, JD VanderHeide, M Yang… - The Lancet …, 2021 - thelancet.com
Background High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an
important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and …

Multivariate spatial modelling for predicting missing HIV prevalence rates among key populations

Z Lan, L Bao - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Ending the HIV/AIDS pandemic is among the sustainable development goals for the next
decade. To overcome the problem caused by the imbalances between the need for care and …

Accounting for nonsampling error in estimates of HIV epidemic trends from antenatal clinic sentinel surveillance

JW Eaton, L Bao - AIDS, 2017 - journals.lww.com
Objectives: The aim of the study was to propose and demonstrate an approach to allow
additional nonsampling uncertainty about HIV prevalence measured at antenatal clinic …

methodological developments in the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS estimates

KK Case, S Gregson, M Mahy, PD Ghys, TB Hallett - AIDS, 2017 - journals.lww.com
The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) publishes estimates of the HIV
epidemic every year [1]. For 2016, estimates are available for 160 countries representing …

90-90-90 cascade analysis on reported CLHIV infected by mother-to-child transmission in Guangxi, China: a modeling study

G Wang, C Lu, S Qin, W Wei, J Lai, J Jiang, B Liang… - Scientific Reports, 2020 - nature.com
The prevalence of HIV in Guangxi was very high, and there were many children living with
HIV (CLHIV) because of larger baseline of pregnant women infected by HIV. It is necessary …

[PDF][PDF] Novel Methods and Application of Bayesian Hierarchical Regression Models

A Zhang - 2021 - etda.libraries.psu.edu
We present two novel methods and one application study for Bayesian hierarchical
regression models (BHRMs). BHRMs are a large, flexible class of probabilistic models and …

A Joint Spatial Conditional Auto-Regressive Model for Estimating HIV Prevalence Rates Among Key Populations

Z Lan, L Bao - arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.01099, 2020 - arxiv.org
Ending the HIV/AIDS pandemic is among the Sustainable Development Goals for the next
decade. In order to overcome the gap between the need for care and the available …

[PDF][PDF] Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study

A Kisa, JD VanderHeide, S Perkins, AJ Cook, JA Kopec… - 2021 - kristiania.brage.unit.no
Background High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an
important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and …