An oil futures volatility forecast perspective on the selection of high-frequency jump tests

X Li, Y Liao, X Lu, F Ma - Energy Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper examines the forecasting performances of high-frequency jump tests for oil
futures volatility from a comprehensive perspective. It contributes to the literature by …

To jump or not to jump: momentum of jumps in crude oil price volatility prediction

Y Zhang, Y Wang, F Ma, Y Wei - Financial Innovation, 2022 - Springer
A well-documented finding is that explicitly using jumps cannot efficiently enhance the
predictability of crude oil price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon,“ …

Jumps and stock market variance during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets

Q Zeng, X Lu, T Li, L Wu - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
Based on the work of Buncic and Gisler (2017), this paper investigates whether the roles of
jump components will change in forecasting the volatility of international equity markets …

Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?

S Degiannakis, G Filis - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022 - Elsevier
Contrary to the current practice that mainly considers stand-alone statistical loss functions,
the aim of the paper is to assess oil price volatility forecasts based on objective-based …

[HTML][HTML] Inner Multifractal Dynamics in the Jumps of Cryptocurrency and Forex Markets

H Ali, M Aftab, F Aslam, P Ferreira - Fractal and Fractional, 2024 - mdpi.com
Jump dynamics in financial markets exhibit significant complexity, often resulting in
increased probabilities of subsequent jumps, akin to earthquake aftershocks. This study …

Do jumps matter in both equity market returns and integrated volatility: a comparison of Asian developed and emerging markets

H Zada, A Hassan, WK Wong - Economies, 2021 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we examine whether jumps matter in both equity market returns and integrated
volatility. For this purpose, we use the swap variance (SwV) approach to identify monthly …

Modeling price and variance jump clustering using the marked hawkes process

J Chen, MP Clements, A Urquhart - Journal of Financial …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
We examine the clustering behavior of price and variance jumps using high-frequency data,
modeled as a marked Hawkes process (MHP) embedded in a bivariate jump-diffusion …

Jumps or staleness?

A Kolokolov, R Renò - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Even moderate amounts of zero returns in financial data, associated with stale prices, are
heavily detrimental for reliable jump inference. We harness staleness-robust estimators to …

Information shocks, market returns and volatility: a comparative analysis of developed equity markets in Asia

H Zada, H Maqsood, S Ahmed, MZ Khan - SN Business & Economics, 2023 - Springer
This research explores the function of information shocks in equity returns and integrated
volatility of emerging Asian markets using Swap Variance (SwV) approach on the period of …

Macroeconomic news and price jumps: evidence from ETFs and LOFs in China

D Su, T Hu - International Journal of Emerging Markets, 2024 - emerald.com
Purpose We examine the relationship between macroeconomic news and fund price jumps,
using high-frequency 5-min intraday data for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Listed …