Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review

GM Martin, DT Frazier, W Maneesoonthorn… - International Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to
probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting …

Bayesian conjugacy in probit, tobit, multinomial probit and extensions: a review and new results

N Anceschi, A Fasano, D Durante… - Journal of the American …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT A broad class of models that routinely appear in several fields can be expressed
as partially or fully discretized Gaussian linear regressions. Besides including classical …

Skewed Bernstein–von Mises theorem and skew-modal approximations

D Durante, F Pozza, B Szabo - The Annals of Statistics, 2024 - projecteuclid.org
Skewed Bernstein-von Mises theorem and skew-modal approximations Page 1 The Annals of
Statistics 2024, Vol. 52, No. 6, 2714–2737 https://doi.org/10.1214/24-AOS2429 © Institute of …

Ordinal logistic regression analysis in determining factors associated with socioeconomic status of household in Tepi town, Southwest Ethiopia

ME Lelisho, AA Wogi, SA Tareke - The Scientific World Journal, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Background. Socioeconomic status (SES) refers to an individual's or group's social position
or class, which is often determined by a combination of education, income, and occupation …

Scalable and accurate variational Bayes for high-dimensional binary regression models

A Fasano, D Durante, G Zanella - Biometrika, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Modern methods for Bayesian regression beyond the Gaussian response setting are often
computationally impractical or inaccurate in high dimensions. In fact, as discussed in recent …

Fast variational Bayes methods for multinomial probit models

R Loaiza-Maya, D Nibbering - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The multinomial probit model is often used to analyze choice behavior. However, estimation
with existing Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is computationally costly, which …

Scalable computation of predictive probabilities in probit models with Gaussian process priors

J Cao, D Durante, MG Genton - Journal of Computational and …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Predictive models for binary data are fundamental in various fields, and the growing
complexity of modern applications has motivated several flexible specifications for modeling …

Some properties of the unified skew-normal distribution

RB Arellano-Valle, A Azzalini - Statistical Papers, 2022 - Springer
For the family of multivariate probability distributions variously denoted as unified skew-
normal, closed skew-normal and other names, a number of properties are already known …

Skew-symmetric approximations of posterior distributions

F Pozza, D Durante, B Szabo - arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.14167, 2024 - arxiv.org
Routinely-implemented deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, eg,
Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on …

Conjugacy properties of multivariate unified skew-elliptical distributions

MJ Karling, D Durante, MG Genton - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.09837, 2024 - arxiv.org
The broad class of multivariate unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions has been recently
shown to possess fundamental conjugacy properties. When used as priors for the vector of …