Toward a synthesis of cognitive biases: how noisy information processing can bias human decision making.

M Hilbert - Psychological bulletin, 2012 - psycnet.apa.org
A single coherent framework is proposed to synthesize long-standing research on 8
seemingly unrelated cognitive decision-making biases. During the past 6 decades …

Uncertain judgements: eliciting experts' probabilities

A O'Hagan, CE Buck, A Daneshkhah, JR Eiser… - 2006 - books.google.com
Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or
quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is …

Behavioral biases on investment decision: A case study in Indonesia

K Kartini, K NAHDA - The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and …, 2021 - koreascience.kr
A shift in perspective from standard finance to behavioral finance has taken place in the past
two decades that explains how cognition and emotions are associated with financial …

[图书][B] The rationality quotient: Toward a test of rational thinking

KE Stanovich, RF West, ME Toplak - 2016 - books.google.com
How to assess critical aspects of cognitive functioning that are not measured by IQ tests:
rational thinking skills. Why are we surprised when smart people act foolishly? Smart people …

Reading across mediums: Effects of reading digital and print texts on comprehension and calibration

LM Singer, PA Alexander - The journal of experimental education, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
This study explored differences that might exist in comprehension when students read digital
and print texts. Ninety undergraduates read both digital and print versions of newspaper …

[PDF][PDF] Czarny łabędź

NN Taleb - Jak nieprzewidywalne zdarzenia rządzą naszym …, 2020 - prawo.uni.wroc.pl
Od Yogiego Berry do Henriego Poincarégo Rozdział 10: SKANDAL PROGNOZOWANIA O
niesprecyzowanej liczbie kochanków carycy Katarzyny Powrót ślepoty na Czarne Łabędzie …

[图书][B] The Oxford handbook of megaproject management

B Flyvbjerg - 2017 - books.google.com
The Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management provides state-of-the-art scholarship in
the emerging field of megaproject management. Megaprojects are large, complex projects …

[图书][B] Черный лебедь

НН Талеб - 2023 - books.google.com
За одно только последнее десятилетие человечество пережило ряд тяжелейших
катастроф, потрясений и катаклизмов, не укладывающихся в рамки самых …

[引用][C] Rationality & the Reflective Mind

KE Stanovich - 2011 - books.google.com
" In this book, Keith Stanovich attempts to resolve the Great Rationality Debate in cognitive
science-the debate about how much irrationality to ascribe to human cognition. Stanovich …

Perception of risk

P Slovic - The perception of risk, 2016 - taylorfrancis.com
The ability to sense and avoid harmful environmental conditions is necessary for the survival
of all living organisms. Survival is also aided by an ability to codify and learn from past …