Predictable polarization is everywhere: we can often predict how people's opinions,
including our own, will shift over time. Extant theories either neglect the fact that we can …

There are many things—call them 'experts'—that you should defer to in forming your
opinions. The trouble is, many experts are modest: they're less than certain that they are …

On at least one of its uses,“higher-order evidence” refers to evidence about what opinions
are rationalized by your evidence. This chapter surveys the foundational epistemological …

Corporate bankruptcies often involve complicated, fragmented capital structures with many
layers of debt and legal entity structures with many subsidiaries. Why do capital structures …

This paper argues for several related theses. First, the epistemological position that
knowledge requires safe belief can be motivated by views in the philosophy of science …

Epistemic iteration principles are principles according to which some or another epistemic
operator automatically iterates‐‐‐eg, if it is known that P, then it is known that P, or there is …

If groups can have beliefs and other attitudes of their own, what determines which such
attitudes the group rationally ought to have? A widespread presupposition is that group …

The impossibility theorem of Dekel, Lipman and Rustichini has been thought to demonstrate
that standard state-space models cannot be used to represent unawareness. We first show …

The guiding thread of the paper is the diagnosis that the advanced division of cognitive
labour (that is, intellectual specialization) engenders a set of perennial, political and …

Some arguments against the assumption that ordinary people may share common
knowledge are sound. The apparent cost of such arguments is the rejection of scientific …