50 years of OR in sport

MB Wright - Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2009 - Taylor & Francis
This paper reviews about 50 years of activity in OR as applied to sports. After some history
and an overview, including discussions of what we mean by sport and what we mean by OR …

Using a Markov process model of an association football match to determine the optimal timing of substitution and tactical decisions

N Hirotsu, M Wright - Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2002 - Taylor & Francis
A football match is modelled as a four-state Markov process. A log-linear model, fed by real
data, is used to estimate transition probabilities by means of the maximum likelihood …

Operations research in sports

Y Gerchak - Handbooks in operations research and management …, 1994 - Elsevier
Publisher Summary This chapter discusses the application of operations research in sports.
Professional sports teams, events, venues, and related gambling constitute major business …

Quantifying the contribution of NHL player types to team performance

TCY Chan, JA Cho, DC Novati - Interfaces, 2012 - pubsonline.informs.org
In this paper, we use k-means clustering to define distinct player types for each of the three
positions on a National Hockey League (NHL) team and then use regression to determine a …

A Markov model for hockey: manpower differential and win probability added

EH Kaplan, K Mongeon, JT Ryan - INFOR: Information Systems …, 2014 - Taylor & Francis
We extend the classic Poisson model of hockey based on score differential and time
remaining in the game to include the effect of penalties, and derive the associated Markov …

Strategies for pulling the goalie in hockey

D Beaudoin, TB Swartz - The American Statistician, 2010 - Taylor & Francis
This article develops a simulator for matches in the National Hockey League (NHL) with the
intent of assessing strategies for pulling the goaltender. Aspects of the approach that are …

Estimating NHL scoring rates

SE Buttrey, AR Washburn, WL Price - Journal of Quantitative …, 2011 - degruyter.com
We propose a model to estimate the rates at which NHL teams score and yield goals. In the
model, goals occur as if from a Poisson process whose rate depends on the two teams …

Determining the best strategy for changing the configuration of a football team

N Hirotsu, M Wright - Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2003 - Taylor & Francis
This paper proposes a dynamic programming (DP) approach to find the optimal substitution
strategy for a football match, which maximises the probability of winning or the expected …

Points gained in football: Using markov process-based value functions to assess team performance

TCY Chan, C Fernandes… - Operations …, 2021 - pubsonline.informs.org
To develop a novel approach for performance assessment, this paper considers the problem
of computing value functions in professional American football. We provide a theoretical …

The professional foul in football: Tactics and deterrents

M Wright, N Hirotsu - Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2003 - Taylor & Francis
We demonstrate the use of a model calibrated using data from every 1999–2000
Premiership match to determine the circumstances under which a player 'should'commit a …