[HTML][HTML] Less climatic resilience in the Arctic

JE Overland - Weather and Climate Extremes, 2020 - Elsevier
Twenty years ago the Arctic system was more resilient than now as sea ice was three times
thicker than today. Heavier and more persistent sea ice provided a buffer against the …

Bridging Gaps in the Climate Observation Network: A Physics‐Based Nonlinear Dynamical Interpolation of Lagrangian Ice Floe Measurements via Data‐Driven …

J Covington, N Chen… - Journal of Advances in …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Modeling and understanding sea ice dynamics in marginal ice zones rely on measurements
of sea ice. Lagrangian observations of ice floes provide insight into the dynamics of sea ice …

The tipping times in an Arctic sea ice system under influence of extreme events

F Yang, Y Zheng, J Duan, L Fu… - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary …, 2020 - pubs.aip.org
In light of the rapid recent retreat of Arctic sea ice, the extreme weather events triggering the
variability in Arctic ice cover has drawn increasing attention. A non-Gaussian α-stable Lévy …

Discrimination of open water from sea ice in the Labrador Sea using quad-polarized synthetic aperture radar

T Xie, W Perrie, C Wei, L Zhao - Remote Sensing of Environment, 2020 - Elsevier
A method to differentiate open water from sea ice using quad-polarization C-band synthetic
aperture radar (SAR) imagery is presented, based on the roughness properties of the sea …

Asymmetry of extreme Cenozoic climate–carbon cycle events

CW Arnscheidt, DH Rothman - Science Advances, 2021 - science.org
The history of Earth's climate and carbon cycle is preserved in deep-sea foraminiferal
carbon and oxygen isotope records. Here, we show that the sub-million-year fluctuations in …

[HTML][HTML] Noise-induced tipping under periodic forcing: Preferred tipping phase in a non-adiabatic forcing regime

Y Chen, JA Gemmer, M Silber… - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary …, 2019 - pubs.aip.org
We consider a periodically forced 1D Langevin equation that possesses two stable periodic
solutions in the absence of noise. We ask the question: is there a most likely noise-induced …

Most probable transition paths in piecewise-smooth stochastic differential equations

K Hill, J Zanetell, JA Gemmer - Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 2022 - Elsevier
We develop a path integral framework for determining most probable paths for a class of
systems of stochastic differential equations with piecewise-smooth drift and additive noise …

[HTML][HTML] Solution of the Fokker-Planck equation with a logarithmic potential and mixed eigenvalue spectrum

F Guarnieri, W Moon, JS Wettlaufer - Journal of mathematical physics, 2017 - pubs.aip.org
Motivated by a problem in climate dynamics, we investigate the solution of a Bessel-like
process with a negative constant drift, described by a Fokker-Planck equation with a …

River Nile discharge, the Pacific Ocean and world climate–a seasonal synchronization perspective

W Moon, A Hannachi - Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
The Nile is the longest river in Africa stretching over around 6650 km through 11 countries.
From the times of the ancient Egyptian Pharaonic civilization, the Nile is known to be a …

Stochastic marine ice sheet variability

TE Mulder, S Baars, FW Wubs… - Journal of Fluid …, 2018 - cambridge.org
It is well known that deterministic two-dimensional marine ice sheets can only be stable if the
grounding line is positioned at a sufficiently steep, downward sloping bedrock. When …