This article presents a review of some modern approaches to trend extraction for one- dimensional time series, which is one of the major tasks of time series analysis. The trend of …
This new edition updates Durbin & Koopman's important text on the state space approach to time series analysis. The distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that …
Modelling based on finite mixture distributions is a rapidly developing area with the range of applications exploding. Finite mixture models are nowadays applied in such diverse areas …
The last twenty years have witnessed tremendous advances in the mathematical, statistical, and computational tools available to applied macroeconomists. This rapidly evolving field …
A simulation smoother in state space time series analysis is a procedure for drawing samples from the conditional distribution of state or disturbance vectors given the …
The aim of this research is to discuss the ability to forecast real crude oil price by the use of Time-Varying Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) models. In particular, model averaging and …
PG Gould, AB Koehler, JK Ord, RD Snyder… - European Journal of …, 2008 - Elsevier
A new approach is proposed for forecasting a time series with multiple seasonal patterns. A state space model is developed for the series using the innovations approach which …
SJ Koopman, J Durbin - Journal of time series analysis, 2000 - Wiley Online Library
This paper investigates a new approach to diffuse filtering and smoothing for multivariate state space models. The standard approach treats the observations as vectors, while our …
Gretl is an econometrics package, including a shared library, a command-line client program and a graphical user interface. User-friendly Gretl offers an intuitive user interface; it is very …