This paper addresses the problem of aggregating a number of expert opinions which have
been expressed in some numerical form in order to reflect individual uncertainty vis-a-vis a …

Approach your problems from the right end It isn't! hat they can't see the solution. It is and
begin with the answers. Then one day, that they can't see the problem. perhaps you will find …

TItis book is the joint project of a philosopher, Lehrer, and a mathematician, Wagner. The
book is, therefore, divided into a first part written by Lehrer, which is primarily philosophical …

Social choice theory is the study of collective decision procedures and mechanisms. It is not
a single theory, but a cluster of models and results concerning the aggregation of individual …

What we value, like, endorse, want, and prefer changes over the course of our lives,
sometimes as a result of decisions we make—such as when we choose to become a parent …

Suppose several individuals (eg, experts on a panel) each assign probabilities to some
events. How can these individual probability assignments be aggregated into a single …

We study groups of interacting agents who are trying to discover probabilistic truths on the
basis of sequentially provided evidence and information about the belief states of other …

How can several individuals' probability assignments to some events be aggregated into a
collective probability assignment? Classic results on this problem assume that the set of …

CARL WAGNER ALLOCATION, LEHRER MODELS, AND THE CONSENSUS OF
PROBABILITIES 1. ALLOCATION PROBLEMS Rational choice often involves the …

The problem of aggregating expert forecasts is ubiquitous in fields as wide-ranging as
machine learning, economics, climate science, and national security. Despite this, our …