The 2023 US 50-state national seismic hazard model: Overview and implications

MD Petersen, AM Shumway, PM Powers… - Earthquake …, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
The US National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) was updated in 2023 for all 50 states using
new science on seismicity, fault ruptures, ground motions, and probabilistic techniques to …

The seismicity rate model for the 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand national seismic hazard model

MC Gerstenberger, R Van Dissen… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
ABSTRACT A seismicity rate model (SRM) has been developed as part of the 2022
Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model revision. The SRM consists of many …

Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3)—The time‐independent model

EH Field, RJ Arrowsmith, GP Biasi… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP14)
present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …

Long‐term time‐dependent probabilities for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

EH Field, GP Biasi, P Bird… - Bulletin of the …, 2015 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2014)
presents time‐dependent earthquake probabilities for the third Uniform California …

Review: Past and Future Fault Rupture Lengths in Seismic Source Characterization—The Long and Short of It

DP Schwartz - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 2018 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The potential rupture length of an active fault is primary input, and an uncertainty, in source
characterization for seismic hazard analysis. The past several decades have seen source …

The USGS 2023 conterminous US time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast

EH Field, KR Milner, AE Hatem… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We present the 2023 US Geological Survey time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude …

A synoptic view of the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

EH Field, TH Jordan, MT Page… - Seismological …, 2017 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Probabilistic forecasting of earthquake‐producing fault ruptures informs all major decisions
aimed at reducing seismic risk and improving earthquake resilience. Earthquake forecasting …

Enumerating plausible multifault ruptures in complex fault systems with physical constraints

KR Milner, BE Shaw, EH Field - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We propose a new model for determining the set of plausible multifault ruptures in an
interconnected fault system. We improve upon the rules used in the Third Uniform California …

Bends and ends of surface ruptures

GP Biasi, SG Wesnousky - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2017 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
To improve the empirical basis for estimating the likely length of future earthquake ruptures
on mapped active faults, we measure map‐scale complexities including fault bends …

Seismic hazard analyses from geologic and geomorphic data: Current and future challenges

KD Morell, R Styron, M Stirling, J Griffin, R Archuleta… - …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The loss of life and economic consequences caused by several recent earthquakes
demonstrate the importance of developing seismically safe building codes. The …