A new hybrid deep learning model for monthly oil prices forecasting

K Guan, X Gong - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
The forecast of crude oil prices has always been important for investors and scholars and
has drawn more attention to applying deep learning techniques in recent years. Under this …

Outperformance of the pharmaceutical sector during the COVID-19 pandemic: Global time-varying screening rule development

C Esparcia, R López - Information Sciences, 2022 - Elsevier
This study demonstrates the major role played by the healthcare and pharmaceutical
industries during the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, it provides evidence of a better …

Predicting bond return predictability

D Borup, JN Eriksen, MM Kjær… - Management …, 2024 - pubsonline.informs.org
This paper provides empirical evidence on predictable time variations in out-of-sample bond
return predictability. Bond return predictability is associated with periods of high (low) …

Modelling changes in travel behaviour mechanisms through a high-order hidden Markov model

Z Zhu, S Zhu, L Sun, A Mardan - Transportmetrica A: transport …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Integrating complicated travel behaviour mechanisms into transportation studies is
necessary for understanding and modelling urban mobility. However, insufficient research …

Are bond returns predictable with real-time macro data?

D Huang, F Jiang, K Li, G Tong, G Zhou - Journal of Econometrics, 2023 - Elsevier
We investigate the predictability of bond returns using real-time macro variables and
consider the possibility of a nonlinear predictive relationship and the presence of weak …

Sequential learning and economic benefits from dynamic term structure models

T Dubiel-Teleszynski, K Kalogeropoulos… - Management …, 2024 - pubsonline.informs.org
We explore the statistical and economic importance of restrictions on the dynamics of risk
compensation from the perspective of a real-time Bayesian learner who predicts bond …

Real-time macro information and bond return predictability: a weighted group deep learning approach

Y Fan, G Feng, A Fulop, J Li - Available at SSRN 3517081, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Relying on a weighted group neural network model, this paper reexamines whether treasury
bond returns are predictable when real-time, instead of fully-revised, macro information is …

Volatility and jump risk in option returns

B Guo, H Lin - Journal of Futures Markets, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We examine the importance of volatility and jump risk in the time‐series prediction of S&P
500 index option returns. The empirical analysis provides a different result between call and …

Dynamic Term Structure Models with Nonlinearities using Gaussian Processes

T Dubiel-Teleszynski, K Kalogeropoulos… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
The importance of unspanned macroeconomic variables for Dynamic Term Structure Models
has been intensively discussed in the literature. To our best knowledge the earlier studies …

Topics in Financial Forecasting Through Machine Learning

H Ham - 2024 - search.proquest.com
In this dissertation, I investigate three applications of machine learning in financial
forecasting. The first study investigates the best techniques for forecasting corporate …