The predictive power of yield spread: evidence from wavelet analysis

AB Dar, A Samantaraya, FA Shah - Empirical Economics, 2014 - Springer
This paper examines whether the spread between long-and short-terminterest rates
contains information about future economic activity in India. Using the yields on securities …

An analysis of the yield spread as a predictor of inflation in Brazil: Evidence from a wavelets approach

BM Tabak, MA Feitosa - Expert Systems with Applications, 2009 - Elsevier
In the present paper we apply multiresolution decomposition in order to test if the Brazilian
yield spread has informational content in the prediction of inflation. Additionally, we …

Wavelet neural network model for yield spread forecasting

FA Shah, L Debnath - Mathematics, 2017 - mdpi.com
In this study, a hybrid method based on coupling discrete wavelet transforms (DWTs) and
artificial neural network (ANN) for yield spread forecasting is proposed. The discrete wavelet …

Forecasting industrial production in Brazil: Evidence from a wavelet approach

BM Tabak, MA Feitosa - Expert Systems with Applications, 2010 - Elsevier
The present paper studies the informational content of the Brazilian term structure of interest
rate. We apply multiresolution decomposition to the spread and to the industrial production …

[PDF][PDF] The yield curve as a leading indicator in economic forecasting in the UK

D Zhanga, P Moffatta - 2012 - ueaeco.github.io
This paper investigates a model utilising the term structure of interest rates to predict output
growth and recession in the UK. In contrast to previous literature, information retrieved from …

[PDF][PDF] Arif Billah Dar, Amaresh Samantaraya &

FA Shah - academia.edu
This paper examines whether the spread between long-and short-term interest rates
contains information about future economic activity in India. Using the yields on securities …

[PDF][PDF] Time series non-linearity in the real growth/recession-term spread relationship, some evidence from the UK

D Zhanga, P Moffatta - ueaeco.github.io
This paper examines the existence of time series non-linearity in the real output
growth/recession-term spread relationship. Vector Autoregression (VAR), Threshold VAR …

[PDF][PDF] Bond yield modelling and its application in the European Union

D Zhang - 2013 - ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk
Forecasting crises has always been an interesting and important topic for econometricians
or statisticians. Literature suggests that government bond yields can be a valid leading …