Applied econometrics and implications for energy economics research

R Smyth, PK Narayan - Energy Economics, 2015 - Elsevier
Developments in applied econometrics, particularly with regard to unit root tests and
cointegration tests, have motivated a rich empirical literature on energy economics over the …

Improving the predictability of the oil–US stock nexus: The role of macroeconomic variables

AA Salisu, R Swaray, TF Oloko - Economic Modelling, 2019 - Elsevier
In this study, we revisit the oil–stock nexus by accounting for the role of macroeconomic
variables and testing their in-sample and out-of-sample predictive powers. We follow the …

A unit root model for trending time-series energy variables

PK Narayan, R Liu - Energy Economics, 2015 - Elsevier
In this paper, we propose a GARCH-based unit root test that is flexible enough to account
for;(a) trending variables,(b) two endogenous structural breaks, and (c) heteroskedastic data …

Testing for integrated electricity series–A formalized synthesis of known problems

N Schneider - The Electricity Journal, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper reviews and discusses methodological choices and statistical inferences relevant
to the literature that has worked at identifying long-memory behaviours within the stochastic …

Are natural gas spot and futures prices predictable?

V Mishra, R Smyth - Economic Modelling, 2016 - Elsevier
We answer two questions concerning natural gas spot and futures prices. The first is: Can
natural gas futures prices predict natural gas spot prices? The second is: Are natural gas …

The random-walk hypothesis on the Indian stock market

A Mishra, V Mishra, R Smyth - Emerging markets finance and trade, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
We test the random-walk hypothesis for the Indian stock market by applying three unit root
tests with two structural breaks. We find that unit root tests that allow for two structural breaks …

'Nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate: A comparative study of China and India'—A failed replication (negative Type 1 and Type 2)

G De Vita, E Trachanas - Energy Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
Evidence published in this journal by Bal and Rath (2015) purports a bidirectional nonlinear
causality between oil price and India's exchange rate and, for China, unidirectional …

Is monthly US natural gas consumption stationary? New evidence from a GARCH unit root test with structural breaks

V Mishra, R Smyth - Energy Policy, 2014 - Elsevier
We apply a recently developed unit root test that simultaneously accounts for
heteroskedasticity and structural breaks to United States monthly natural gas consumption …

Testing for weak-form efficiency of crude palm oil spot and future markets: new evidence from a GARCH unit root test with multiple structural breaks

HH Lean, R Smyth - Applied Economics, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
There is a sizeable literature that tests for weak-form efficiency in commodity and energy
spot and future prices. While many studies now allow for multiple structural breaks to …

Conditional convergence in US disaggregated petroleum consumption at the sector level

H Hooi Lean, V Mishra, R Smyth - Applied Economics, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
We test for convergence in disaggregated petroleum consumption at the sector level for the
United States using the recently proposed GARCH unit root test, suitable for high frequency …