Accumulation of immunity in heavy-tailed sexual contact networks shapes mpox outbreak sizes
Many countries affected by the global outbreak of mpox in 2022 have observed a decline in
cases. Our mathematical model accounting for heavy-tailed sexual partnership distributions …
cases. Our mathematical model accounting for heavy-tailed sexual partnership distributions …
Reservoir computing on epidemic spreading: A case study on COVID-19 cases
A reservoir computing based echo state network (ESN) is used here for the purpose of
predicting the spread of a disease. The current infection trends of a disease in some …
predicting the spread of a disease. The current infection trends of a disease in some …
An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA
We analyze an ensemble of n-sub-epidemic modeling for forecasting the trajectory of
epidemics and pandemics. These ensemble modeling approaches, and models that …
epidemics and pandemics. These ensemble modeling approaches, and models that …
Transmission dynamics informed neural network with application to COVID-19 infections
M He, B Tang, Y Xiao, S Tang - Computers in Biology and Medicine, 2023 - Elsevier
Since the end of 2019 the COVID-19 repeatedly surges with most countries/territories
experiencing multiple waves, and mechanism-based epidemic models played important …
experiencing multiple waves, and mechanism-based epidemic models played important …
Universality in COVID-19 spread in view of the Gompertz function
We demonstrate that universal scaling behavior is observed in the current coronavirus
(SARS-CoV-2) spread, the COVID-19 pandemic, in various countries. We analyze the …
(SARS-CoV-2) spread, the COVID-19 pandemic, in various countries. We analyze the …
Robust estimation of diagnostic rate and real incidence of COVID-19 for European policymakers
Policymakers need clear, fast assessment of the real spread of the COVID-19 epidemic in
each of their respective countries. Standard measures of the situation provided by the …
each of their respective countries. Standard measures of the situation provided by the …
Virus spread on a scale-free network reproduces the Gompertz growth observed in isolated COVID-19 outbreaks
The counts of confirmed cases and deaths in isolated SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks follow the
Gompertz growth function for locations of very different sizes. This lack of dependence on …
Gompertz growth function for locations of very different sizes. This lack of dependence on …
Exploring epidemic voluntary vaccinating behavior based on information-driven decisions and benefit-cost analysis
C Zuo, Y Ling, F Zhu, X Ma, G Xiang - Applied Mathematics and …, 2023 - Elsevier
A complex dynamic interplay exists between epidemic transmission and vaccination, which
is significantly influenced by human behavioral responses. We construct a research …
is significantly influenced by human behavioral responses. We construct a research …
[HTML][HTML] Predicting the trajectory of any COVID19 epidemic from the best straight line
A pipeline involving data acquisition, curation, carefully chosen graphs and mathematical
models, allows analysis of COVID-19 outbreaks at 3,546 locations world-wide (all countries …
models, allows analysis of COVID-19 outbreaks at 3,546 locations world-wide (all countries …
A semi-empirical risk panel to monitor epidemics: Multi-faceted tool to assist healthcare and public health professionals
A Perramon-Malavez, M Bravo, VL de Rioja… - Frontiers in Public …, 2024 - frontiersin.org
Introduction Bronchiolitis, mostly caused by Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), and influenza
among other respiratory infections, lead to seasonal saturation at healthcare centers in …
among other respiratory infections, lead to seasonal saturation at healthcare centers in …