[图书][B] Modeling and forecasting electricity loads and prices: A statistical approach

R Weron - 2006 - books.google.com
This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be
used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company …

Electricity prices, large-scale renewable integration, and policy implications

E Kyritsis, J Andersson, A Serletis - Energy Policy, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the effects of intermittent solar and wind power generation on
electricity price formation in Germany. We use daily data from 2010 to 2015, a period with …

Optimal storage, investment and management under uncertainty: it is costly to avoid outages!

J Geske, R Green - The Energy Journal, 2020 - journals.sagepub.com
We show how electricity storage is operated optimally when the load net of renewable
output is uncertain. We estimate a diurnal Markov-process representation of how Germany's …

[PDF][PDF] Long-term memory in electricity prices: Czech market evidence

L Kristoufek, P Lunackova - arXiv preprint arXiv:1309.0582, 2013 - academia.edu
We analyze long-term memory properties of hourly prices of electricity in the Czech Republic
between 2009 and 2012. As the dynamics of the electricity prices is dominated by cycles …

Characteristics of the prices of operating reserves and regulation services in competitive electricity markets

P Wang, H Zareipour, WD Rosehart - Energy Policy, 2011 - Elsevier
In this paper, characteristics of the prices of reserves and regulation services in the Ontario,
New York and ERCOT electricity markets are studied. More specifically, price variability …

Power exchange price volatility analysis after one year of trilateral market coupling

C De Jonghe, L Meeus… - 2008 5th international …, 2008 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Trilateral market coupling (TLC) was launched in November 2006 in Belgium, France and
the Netherlands. The initiative results in a sharp decrease of hourly price differences. This …

Price dynamics in electricity markets

F Paraschiv - Handbook of risk management in energy production …, 2013 - Springer
With the liberalization of global power markets, modeling of exchange-traded electricity
contracts has attracted significantly the attention of both academic and industry. In this paper …

Using affine jump diffusion models for modelling and pricing electricity derivatives

NK Nomikos, O Soldatos - Applied Mathematical Finance, 2008 - Taylor & Francis
A seasonal affine jump diffusion spike model with regime switching in the long‐run
equilibrium level is applied to model spot and forward prices in the Scandinavian power …

Bidding structure, market efficiency and persistence in a multi-time tariff setting

E Avci-Surucu, AK Aydogan, D Akgul - Energy Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
The purpose of this study is to examine the fractal dynamics of day ahead electricity prices
by using parametric and semi parametric approaches for each time zone in a multi-time tariff …

The effect of infrequent trading on detecting price jumps

FC Schulz, K Mosler - AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, 2011 - Springer
The subject of the present study is to analyze how accurately an elaborated price jump
detection methodology by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (J. Financ. Econom. 2: 1–37 …