Automating inference, learning, and design using probabilistic programming

T Rainforth - 2017 - ora.ox.ac.uk
Imagine a world where computational simulations can be inverted as easily as running them
forwards, where data can be used to refine models automatically, and where the only …

Maximum a-posteriori estimation of autoregressive processes based on finite mixtures of scale-mixtures of skew-normal distributions

M Maleki, RB Arellano-Valle - Journal of Statistical Computation …, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
This article investigates maximum a-posteriori (MAP) estimation of autoregressive model
parameters when the innovations (errors) follow a finite mixture of distributions that, in turn …

Divide, conquer, and combine: a new inference strategy for probabilistic programs with stochastic support

Y Zhou, H Yang, YW Teh… - … Conference on Machine …, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
Universal probabilistic programming systems (PPSs) provide a powerful framework for
specifying rich probabilistic models. They further attempt to automate the process of drawing …

Periodic autoregressive models with closed skew-normal innovations

T Manouchehri, AR Nematollahi - Computational Statistics, 2019 - Springer
This paper is concerned with the estimation problem of a periodic autoregressive model with
closed skew-normal innovations. The closed skew-normal (CSN) distribution has some …

What's Hot in Heuristic Search

R Stern, L Lelis - Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial …, 2016 - ojs.aaai.org
Search in general, and heuristic search in particular, is at the heart of many Artificial
Intelligence algorithms and applications. There is now a growing and active community …

Applications of Probabilistic Programming (Master's thesis, 2015)

YN Perov - arXiv preprint arXiv:1606.00075, 2016 - arxiv.org
This thesis describes work on two applications of probabilistic programming: the learning of
probabilistic program code given specifications, in particular program code of one …

[PDF][PDF] Scaling Probabilistic Programming with First-Class Marginal-MAP

J Gouwar, S Holtzen - 2023 - khoury.northeastern.edu
One of the most compelling features of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) is their
ability to manipulate probability distributions as first-class objects. First-class representations …

A bayesian network based solution scheme for the constrained stochastic on-line equi-partitioning problem

S Glimsdal, OC Granmo - Applied Intelligence, 2018 - Springer
A number of intriguing decision scenarios revolve around partitioning a collection of objects
to optimize some application specific objective function. This problem is generally referred to …

Thompson sampling guided stochastic searching on the line for deceptive environments with applications to root-finding problems

S Glimsdal, OC Granmo - Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2019 - jmlr.org
The multi-armed bandit problem forms the foundation for solving a wide range of online
stochastic optimization problems through a simple, yet effective mechanism. One simply …

Thompson sampling guided stochastic searching on the line for adversarial learning

S Glimsdal, OC Granmo - … Applications and Innovations: 11th IFIP WG 12.5 …, 2015 - Springer
The multi-armed bandit problem has been studied for decades. In brief, a gambler
repeatedly pulls one out of N slot machine arms, randomly receiving a reward or a penalty …