Climate adaptation as a control problem: Review and perspectives on dynamic water resources planning under uncertainty

JD Herman, JD Quinn, S Steinschneider… - Water Resources …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change introduces substantial uncertainty to water resources planning and raises
the key question: when, or under what conditions, should adaptation occur? A number of …

A systematic review of dynamics in climate risk and vulnerability assessments

A Jurgilevich, A Räsänen… - Environmental …, 2017 - iopscience.iop.org
Understanding climate risk is crucial for effective adaptation action, and a number of
assessment methodologies have emerged. We argue that the dynamics of the individual …

Achieving the sustainable development goals requires transdisciplinary innovation at the local scale

EA Moallemi, S Malekpour, M Hadjikakou, R Raven… - One Earth, 2020 - cell.com
The diversity of local conditions across regions has led to numerous challenges and
opportunities for the implementation of global sustainability frameworks such as the …

An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?

HR Maier, JHA Guillaume, H van Delden… - … modelling & software, 2016 - Elsevier
A highly uncertain future due to changes in climate, technology and socio-economics has
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …

Robustness metrics: How are they calculated, when should they be used and why do they give different results?

C McPhail, HR Maier, JH Kwakkel, M Giuliani… - Earth's …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Robustness is being used increasingly for decision analysis in relation to deep uncertainty
and many metrics have been proposed for its quantification. Recent studies have shown that …

Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty

EA Moallemi, J Kwakkel, FJ de Haan… - Global Environmental …, 2020 - Elsevier
Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …

Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties

M Basheer, V Nechifor, A Calzadilla… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
The uncertainties around the hydrological and socio-economic implications of climate
change pose a challenge for Nile River system management, especially with rapidly rising …

[HTML][HTML] Comparing robust decision-making and dynamic adaptive policy pathways for model-based decision support under deep uncertainty

JH Kwakkel, M Haasnoot, WE Walker - Environmental Modelling & …, 2016 - Elsevier
A variety of model-based approaches for supporting decision-making under deep
uncertainty have been suggested, but they are rarely compared and contrasted. In this …

[HTML][HTML] Hard or soft flood adaptation? Advantages of a hybrid strategy for Shanghai

S Du, P Scussolini, PJ Ward, M Zhang, J Wen… - Global Environmental …, 2020 - Elsevier
Flood risk is expected to increase in coastal cities, particularly in Asian megacities such as
Shanghai. This paper presents an integrated modeling framework to simulate changes in …

Coping with the wickedness of public policy problems: approaches for decision making under deep uncertainty

JH Kwakkel, WE Walker, M Haasnoot - Journal of Water Resources …, 2016 - ascelibrary.org
In many planning problems, planners face major challenges in coping with uncertain and
changing physical conditions, and rapid unpredictable socioeconomic development. How …