An overview of the 2010 hazardous weather testbed experimental forecast program spring experiment

AJ Clark, SJ Weiss, JS Kain, IL Jirak… - Bulletin of the …, 2012 - journals.ametsoc.org
The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) conducts annual spring forecasting
experiments organized by the Storm Prediction Center and National Severe Storms …

[HTML][HTML] 强对流天气监测预报预警技术进展

郑永光, 周康辉, 盛杰, 林隐静, 田付友, 唐文苑, 蓝渝… - 应用气象学报, 2015 - html.rhhz.net
强对流天气预报业务包括监测, 分析, 预报, 预警和检验等方面. 对流初生识别,
对流系统强度识别和对流天气类型识别等监测技术取得新进展, 综合多源资料的监测技术已应用 …

[HTML][HTML] Storm-based probabilistic hail forecasting with machine learning applied to convection-allowing ensembles

DJ Gagne, A McGovern, SE Haupt… - Weather and …, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
Forecasting severe hail accurately requires predicting how well atmospheric conditions
support the development of thunderstorms, the growth of large hail, and the minimal loss of …

[HTML][HTML] NCAR's experimental real-time convection-allowing ensemble prediction system

CS Schwartz, GS Romine, RA Sobash… - Weather and …, 2015 - journals.ametsoc.org
Accadia, C., Mariani S., Casaioli M., Lavagnini A., and Speranza A., 2003: Sensitivity of
precipitation forecast skill scores to bilinear interpolation and a simple nearest-neighbor …

The impact of climate change on hazardous convective weather in the United States: Insight from high-resolution dynamical downscaling

KA Hoogewind, ME Baldwin, RJ Trapp - Journal of Climate, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study explores the potential impact anthropogenic climate change may have upon
hazardous convective weather (HCW; ie, tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind gusts) in …

[HTML][HTML] Scientific challenges of convective-scale numerical weather prediction

JI Yano, MZ Ziemiański, M Cullen… - Bulletin of the …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
After extensive efforts over the course of a decade, convective-scale weather forecasts with
horizontal grid spacings of 1–5 km are now operational at national weather services around …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic forecast guidance for severe thunderstorms based on the identification of extreme phenomena in convection-allowing model forecasts

RA Sobash, JS Kain, DR Bright… - Weather and …, 2011 - journals.ametsoc.org
With the advent of convection-allowing NWP models (CAMs) comes the potential for new
forms of forecast guidance. While CAMs lack the required resolution to simulate many …

[HTML][HTML] Application of a lightning data assimilation technique in the WRF-ARW model at cloud-resolving scales for the tornado outbreak of 24 May 2011

AO Fierro, ER Mansell, CL Ziegler… - Monthly Weather …, 2012 - journals.ametsoc.org
Application of a Lightning Data Assimilation Technique in the WRF-ARW Model at Cloud-Resolving
Scales for the Tornado Outbreak of 24 May 2011 in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 140 …

Forecasting hail using a one-dimensional hail growth model within WRF

RD Adams-Selin, CL Ziegler - Monthly Weather Review, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
The HAILCAST hail growth model has been integrated into the Advanced Research version
of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) Model to predict hail size at the …

Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/hazardous weather testbed spring forecasting experiment

BT Gallo, AJ Clark, I Jirak, JS Kain… - Weather and …, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
Led by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center and National Severe Storms Laboratory, annual
spring forecasting experiments (SFEs) in the Hazardous Weather Testbed test and evaluate …