While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Aftershocks can compound the impacts of a major earthquake, disrupting recovery efforts
and potentially further damaging weakened buildings and infrastructure. Forecasts of the …

We present the development and testing of multiple epidemic‐type aftershock sequence
(ETAS)‐based earthquake forecasting models for Switzerland, aiming to identify suitable …

This report documents the assessment by the US Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake
Rupture Forecast (ERF) Review Panel of the draft ERF for the conterminous United States …

Abstract The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is an open and
global community whose mission is to accelerate earthquake predictability research through …

Enhanced earthquake catalogs provide detailed images of evolving seismic sequences.
Currently, these data sets take some time to be released but will soon become available in …

We propose two methods to calibrate the parameters of the epidemic‐type aftershock
sequence (ETAS) model based on expectation maximization (EM) while accounting for …

SUMMARY The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is an
international effort to evaluate earthquake forecast models prospectively. In CSEP, one way …

Moderate‐to‐large‐magnitude earthquakes induce considerable short‐to‐medium‐term
increases in seismic hazard, due to the subsequent occurrence of aftershocks. Most studies …

ABSTRACT We use the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model (UCERF3‐ETAS) to evaluate the effects …