Meteorological conditions during periods of low wind speed and insolation in Germany: The role of weather regimes

F Mockert, CM Grams, T Brown… - Meteorological …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Renewable power generation from wind and solar energy is strongly dependent on the
weather. To plan future sustainable energy systems that are robust to weather variability, a …

The influence of future weather pattern changes and projected sea-level rise on coastal flood impacts around the UK

RJ Perks, D Bernie, J Lowe, R Neal - Climatic Change, 2023 - Springer
When local extreme water levels surpass defences, the consequences can be devastating.
We assess the importance of sea-level rise and future weather pattern changes on UK …

Weather persistence on sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales: a methodological review

A Tuel, O Martius - Earth System Dynamics, 2023 - esd.copernicus.org
Persistence is an important concept in meteorology. It refers to surface weather or the
atmospheric circulation either remaining in approximately the same state (quasi-stationarity) …

Characterizing renewable energy compound events across Europe using a logistic regression‐based approach

N Otero, O Martius, S Allen… - Meteorological …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
The transition towards decarbonized power systems requires accounting for the impacts of
the climate variability and climate change on renewable energy sources. With the growing …

Warm conveyor belts as amplifiers of forecast uncertainty

M Pickl, JF Quinting, CM Grams - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are rapidly ascending air streams associated with extratropical
cyclones. WCBs exert a substantial influence on the evolution of the large‐scale midlatitude …

Multi‐model assessment of sub‐seasonal predictive skill for year‐round Atlantic–European weather regimes

M Osman, R Beerli, D Büeler… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The prediction skill of sub‐seasonal forecast models is evaluated for seven year‐round
weather regimes in the Atlantic–European region. Reforecasts based on models from three …

What do large‐scale patterns teach us about extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean at medium‐and extended‐range forecasts?

N Mastrantonas, L Magnusson… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Extreme precipitation events (EPEs) can have devastating consequences, such as floods
and landslides, posing a great threat to society and economy. Predicting such events long in …

Exploring the Use of European Weather Regimes for Improving User-Relevant Hydrological Forecasts at the Subseasonal Scale in Switzerland

AYY Chang, K Bogner, CM Grams… - Journal of …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Across the globe, there has been an increasing interest in improving the predictability of
subseasonal hydrometeorological forecasts, as they play a valuable role in medium-to long …

Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclone biases in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

D Büeler, M Sprenger, H Wernli - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Extratropical cyclones influence midlatitude surface weather directly via precipitation and
wind and indirectly via upscale feedbacks on the large‐scale flow. Biases in cyclone …

The application of predefined weather patterns over India within probabilistic medium‐range forecasting tools for high‐impact weather

R Neal, G Guentchev, T Arulalan… - Meteorological …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
A method is presented for deriving probabilistic medium‐range (1‐to‐2‐week) weather
pattern forecasts for India. This method uses an existing set of 30 objectively derived daily …