[HTML][HTML] Modelling COVID-19 dynamics and potential for herd immunity by vaccination in Austria, Luxembourg and Sweden

F Kemp, D Proverbio, A Aalto, L Mombaerts… - Journal of Theoretical …, 2021 - Elsevier
Against the COVID-19 pandemic, non-pharmaceutical interventions have been widely
applied and vaccinations have taken off. The upcoming question is how the interplay …

Dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ireland under mitigation

B Cazelles, B Nguyen-Van-Yen, C Champagne… - BMC Infectious …, 2021 - Springer
Abstract Background In Ireland and across the European Union the COVID-19 epidemic
waves, driven mainly by the emergence of new variants of the SARS-CoV-2 have continued …

Bayesian workflow for time-varying transmission in stratified compartmental infectious disease transmission models

JA Bouman, A Hauser, SL Grimm… - PLoS computational …, 2024 - journals.plos.org
Compartmental models that describe infectious disease transmission across subpopulations
are central for assessing the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions, behavioral …

SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in Mozambique and Zimbabwe during the first 3 years of the pandemic

RF Kaondera-Shava, M Galanti… - Royal Society …, 2025 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The 2019 emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
and its rapid spread created a public health emergency of international concern. However …

Performing global sensitivity analysis on simulations of a continuous-time Markov chain model motivated by epidemiology

HM Kouye, G Mazo, C Prieur, E Vergu - Computational and Applied …, 2024 - Springer
In this paper we apply a methodology introduced in Navarro Jimenez et al.(J Chem Phys
145 (24): 244106, 2016) in the framework of chemical reaction networks to perform a global …

Modeling COVID-19 incidence by the renewal equation after removal of administrative bias and noise

L Alvarez, JD Morel, JM Morel - Biology, 2022 - mdpi.com
Simple Summary In the past two years, the COVID-19 incidence curves and reproduction
number R t have been the main metrics used by policy makers and journalists to monitor the …

Bayesian analysis of diffusion-driven multi-type epidemic models with application to COVID-19

L Bouranis, N Demiris, K Kalogeropoulos… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
We consider a flexible Bayesian evidence synthesis approach to model the age-specific
transmission dynamics of COVID-19 based on daily mortality counts. The temporal evolution …

[HTML][HTML] The stochasticity in adherence to nonpharmaceutical interventions and booster doses and the mitigation of COVID-19

Y Tan, P Yuan, I Moyles, J Heffernan… - … Dynamical Systems-S, 2023 - aimsciences.org
Facing the more contagious COVID-19 variant, Omicron, nonpharmaceutical interventions
(NPIs) were still in place and booster doses were proposed to mitigate the epidemic …

Dynamic parameterization of a modified SEIRD model to analyze and forecast the dynamics of COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States

OO Davarci, EY Yang, A Viguerie… - Engineering with …, 2024 - Springer
The rapid spread of the numerous outbreaks of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic has fueled interest in mathematical models designed to understand and predict …

A comparative study on the three calculation methods for reproduction numbers of COVID-19

B Abudunaibi, W Liu, Z Guo, Z Zhao, J Rui… - Frontiers in …, 2023 - frontiersin.org
Objective This study uses four COVID-19 outbreaks as examples to calculate and compare
merits and demerits, as well as applicational scenarios, of three methods for calculating …