Das vorliegende Handbuch soll einen Überblick über die Befragungen des ifo Instituts
sowie die daraus resultierenden Konjunkturindikatoren und deren Verwendung für die …

Abstract The ifo Institute is Germany's largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business
Climate Germany as one of the most important leading indicators for gross domestic product …

This study aims to refine unemployment forecasts by incorporating the degree of consensus
in consumers' expectations. With this objective, we first model the unemployment rate in …

As one of the main pillars of the ifo Institute's economic research, the ifo Business Survey
has been conducted monthly since 1949, a year after the foundation of the ifo Institute. Since …

In this study, we evaluate the effect of news on consumer unemployment expectations for
sixteen socio-demographic groups. To this end, we construct an unemployment sentiment …

The main objective of this study is twofold. First, we propose an empirical modelling
approach based on genetic programming to forecast economic growth by means of survey …

In this study we present a novel approach to measure the level of consensus among agents'
expectations. The proposed framework allows us to design a positional indicator that gives …

In this study we use agents' expectations about the state of the economy to generate
indicators of economic activity in twenty-six European countries grouped in five regions …

Contrary to the number of unemployed or vacancies, the number of employees subject to
social security contributions (SSC) for Germany is published after a time lag of 2 months …

We show that the macroeconomic uncertainty series from Jurado, Ludvigson, and Ng (2015)
contains information to forecast employment. The results indicate that the uncertainty …