Hawkes process modeling of COVID-19 with mobility leading indicators and spatial covariates

WH Chiang, X Liu, G Mohler - International journal of forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
Hawkes processes are used in statistical modeling for event clustering and causal inference,
while they also can be viewed as stochastic versions of popular compartmental models used …

To predict and to manage. Predictive policing in the United States

B Benbouzid - Big Data & Society, 2019 - journals.sagepub.com
This article offers a detailed examination of the content of predictive policing applications.
Crime prediction machines are used by governments to shape the moral behavior of police …

Using the multivariate H awkes process to study interactions between multiple species from camera trap data

L Nicvert, S Donnet, M Keith, M Peel, MJ Somers… - Ecology, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Interspecific interactions can influence species' activity and movement patterns. In particular,
species may avoid or attract each other through reactive responses in space and/or time …

Spatial concentration of opioid overdose deaths in Indianapolis: an application of the law of crime concentration at place to a public health epidemic

JG Carter, G Mohler, B Ray - Journal of contemporary …, 2019 - journals.sagepub.com
The law of crime concentration at place has become a criminological axiom and the
foundation for one of the strongest evidence-based policing strategies to date. Using …

A penalized likelihood method for balancing accuracy and fairness in predictive policing

G Mohler, R Raje, J Carter, M Valasik… - … on systems, man …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Racial bias of predictive policing algorithms has been the focus of recent research and, in
the case of Hawkes processes, feedback loops are possible where biased arrests are …

Community policing and intelligence-led policing: An examination of convergent or discriminant validity

JG Carter, B Fox - Policing: An International Journal, 2019 - emerald.com
Purpose Despite increased scholarly inquiry regarding intelligence-led policing (ILP) and
popularity among law enforcement agencies around the globe, ambiguity remains regarding …

Approximation of Bayesian Hawkes process with inlabru

F Serafini, F Lindgren, M Naylor - Environmetrics, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Hawkes process are very popular mathematical tools for modeling phenomena exhibiting a
self‐exciting or self‐correcting behavior. Typical examples are earthquakes occurrence, wild …

Redrawing hot spots of crime in Dallas, Texas

AP Wheeler, S Reuter - Police Quarterly, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
In this work we evaluate the predictive capability of identifying long term, micro place hot
spots in Dallas, Texas. We create hot spots using a clustering algorithm, using law …

[HTML][HTML] Quand prédire, c'est gérer

B Benbouzid - Réseaux, 2018 - cairn.info
Dans cet article, nous rentrons dans les détails du contenu des applications numériques de
la police prédictive. Les machines prédictives sont des technologies morales de …

Network self-exciting point processes to measure health impacts of COVID-19

P Giudici, P Pagnottoni, A Spelta - Journal of the Royal …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
The assessment of the health impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic requires the consideration
of mobility networks. To this aim, we propose to augment spatio-temporal point process …